EverydaySpy Podcast
EverydaySpy Podcast

Europe Is Sleepwalking Into Collapse — And Russia Knows It

2/25/202612:191,971 words
0:000:00

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Transcript

EN

What I want to do is not to be a student, the master of the club's laptop is ...

I'm saying, you can say that you're a hero.

You're a master of the club, right? But you don't understand.

Exactly, it's just a challenge. You're just a master of the club. You're just a master of the club. And if you work, you're a coach. - That's right? - Safe. You're a master. - You're just a master of the club. - Now you're a master of the club. Right? So why to not have good title with Russia?

And also, I don't know, maybe, I don't know after the war, and all this rough football football that we have in the European Union about Russia. I don't think it's possible, but theoretically, it is possible for Russia.

And at one point they want it to join the EU.

So you think EU will be good to take steps towards Russia. Normal relationships, and maybe in the future. - If we're going to be serious about democracy, then we have to be serious about recognizing that there are certain elements of Russia that are democratic. They vote, they have states, they have elections.

So they might be corrupt in their processes, but they have the processes in place to be democratic.

So why not consider the future where Russia could be part of Europe?

It already physically is part of Europe. The reason Russia feels isolated from Europe. And in that isolation, they become more aggressive. - Yes. - And push to China. - Exactly. And China is not part of Europe.

China does not have any interest in seeing a stronger Europe. But Russia, Russia doesn't want to be non irrelevant.

- Russia wants to be powerful. - Yes. So, and in our, we're China and United States,

I think it's strategically better for Russia to be inside Europe. Would you are going to create the third big player? - Exactly. - Exactly. And Russia knows that. - And maybe it doesn't have that choice right now. - But it does have that choice right now. - Yes, because of the fucking stupidity.

- Because Europe has aligned itself with the United States. So now Russia can't align itself with Europe, because that would mean aligning itself with the United States. So I think you've got your perspective is excellent. Does it mean that you're going to be friends with Russia tomorrow? No. But it does mean that there are steps that you can take.

- Yeah, I'm curious also to hear about your thoughts about enlargement. How we should think in EU about enlargement. Like for example, there is Ukraine, Moldova wants to join Georgia wants to join. So what are, how we should think about this and how we should be, in a way, strategically thinking about this, because if we go and say,

Georgia will join the NATO and EU tomorrow, maybe we have another world like this. - So the biggest problem that Europe has is that it doesn't value security at the level that other geopolitical players value security.

So you have to invest in security. You have to.

There's no way that you can start to let Moldova or Georgia, two countries who are heavily infiltrated by the Russians. There's no way you can invite them in, unless you have security measures in place to protect yourself. There's nothing wrong with protecting yourself. There's nothing wrong with intelligence. There's nothing wrong with military. There's nothing wrong with defense. There's nothing wrong with it. The challenge is if you're going to use the same budget,

you're going to have to take budget away from something else in order to invest budget in security. And you are behind already. So that means you're going to have to spend more budget to catch up with where everybody else already is. When I say everybody else, where the other major geopolitical players are. So you either have to increase taxes or you have to reallocate budget. The nice thing is, in a place like Europe, frankly speaking, you guys waste a shitload

of money on bureaucracy and social systems and social welfare programs that don't actually benefit you. You have a huge challenge based on the United States and Russia and China thrive off of focusing their resources on the most contributory factors of their economy. So we kind of abandon the very old and we abandon the very young. That's a sacrifice that these countries have been willing to make in order to maximize productivity and increase spending specifically on

security. If you open the door to Russia without investing in security, then all you're doing is

Opening the door to a tiger who's going to come in and eat your prey, eat you...

to invest in security. You will never be a standalone poll in a multi-polar world unless you

invest in security. And some of your countries germany being one of them is very willing and very able and very serious about increasing security, right? But it wasn't that long ago that germany was the evil power in a global war. So maybe multiple countries, maybe multiple countries should take the same steps as germany, right? If you haven't discovered your natural born spiscals, then somebody else might be using theirs against you. CIA teaches us that there are

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their power against you. Poland is a very security conscious partner in the EU and people look

at Poland and think they're paranoid. When Poland is like actually trying to be secure, maybe they're not paranoid, maybe they have a little bit of paranoia, but maybe it's valid. How do you find, you can't have countries like Hungary working against European Union issues. It's not going to be beneficial for the long term of Europe if you continue to have that. When we're talking about this one, big fear that I have is even if we do this.

Not sure if it will thrive like we won because there is so much bureaucracy and like correct

for the innovation to thrive. You need to reduce your innovation, it's a big part of this.

If we technological advancement, it's what wins worse. If we don't, and like you see it with companies, unicorn companies, they are leaving you. They are not having as much success in the capital markets as the United States. We see that innovation is, if you see the companies of the United States and India, the Tesla, all these upper, like you put the EU companies in their advantage next to how much money they are making, like they shouldn't. Like what more people

than the United States, it's a big fear of me that it will take so much long to thrive for innovation. It will take a long time if you don't make radical change. Radical change is how you make change in a short period of time. Slow change is how you lose opportunities over a long period of time. So this is the real challenge that Europe has. Europe is going to have to radically reduce its bureaucracy, radically increase its security. And because of the processes that you have in place

right now, your bureaucracy is going to slow down the speed that you can abandon bureaucracy. There's no reason for you to be as bureaucratic as you are in today's world. In a world where authoritarian decisions can be made overnight, and you guys have to go have five days to vote,

and your vote might not pass, and then you have to take 15 days before you can vote on it again,

and then it might be a vacation or a holiday or who knows what the hell else is going on. You're going up against countries that don't care about the values that you have, that move faster than you move, and they've already built a security infrastructure that you haven't built. So this is anybody who has ever been in debt knows what this feels like. You have to change your lifestyle. So Europe would have to significantly change its lifestyle

in order to make changes. We want common European defense across Europe. So we don't want local because we do have defense in a member state. So we want this is what you're describing for everyone to understand. To make common European art. Correct. Well, it doesn't have to be a common European army, but it does have to be a collective agreement that your defense is of a unified

Europe.

I mean, you don't have to have a collective army, but what you do have to recognize is that

taking everything to vote, regulating everything heavily, having all of this bureaucracy that

blokes you, slows you down in a world where your competitors, your threats move faster than you.

We are taught at CIA and we're taught in the military. Movement on the battlefield is critical.

If you don't have movement, you're going to die. You're going to get shot. The person who wins moves. Well, Europe is become so bloated with bureaucracy that you don't move. You stay in one place. It's much easier to hit a target that stays in one place. So in order for you to make any changes,

the first thing you're going to have to change is your over-dependence, your abuse of bureaucratic

process. And that's, it doesn't have to be something that you change forever. It could be something you change in one vote for the next five years. The United States has all these states of emergency is there really nothing in Europe where you can claim that it's a state of emergency. It's an emergency of democracy for crying out loud. So maybe for five years, you make it so that things need less voting. Maybe you make it so that people have more autonomy and more independence. Maybe you make it so that

things can get passed with smaller numbers of consensus. I don't know how it works here, but there's gotta be a way that you can rapidly increase your speed of market so that you can take

the steps you need to take to be a poll in the future multi-polar world.

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