Everybody has a hot take on the economy and whether you're curious about infl...
wars, or the markets, what you need is reporting you can trust. Hi, I'm Kai Rizdahl, the host of Marketplace. Our award-winning reporters talk to everybody from CEOs to farmers to help you understand how the economy takes shape in the real world. You'll be smarter every time you listen, and these days, that's price list.
Listen to Marketplace on your favorite podcast app. We pivoted to a growth industry, podcasting. I didn't know I'm the ground floor, but we did pivot. You know what? You can name your bookstore, pivot, and I'm going to name my yoga studio, pivot.
Hello, and welcome to Optimistic Economy. I'm a economist, Katherine Ann Edwards. I'm editor Robin Rousen. And on this show, we believe the U.S. economy can be better, and we talk about how to get there one problem in solution at a time.
Today, on Optimistic Economy, we're going to talk about moving, and not just because both of us
“have moved in the last year or so, but because I think it's really, I think it's interesting”
and I think even more than a tax story, I like a demographic story. Yes. And you know, they often don't pan out. People make a lot of guesses on demographic stories, but I think they're fun. And there was like trying to figure out what's happening and why looking at, who's doing
what, kind of like economics in general, I guess. Demography is the study, basically of births deaths and moves. And I trained at a demography institute as part of my PhD, Wisconsin. And I remember a really, very famous in prominent demographer told me, like, the fun thing about demography is, you can't be wrong, but you're rarely right.
Because people, they just do a lot of stuff. Yeah.
So you can almost always get at something, not clear it's the thing you wanted to get at.
That's our goal today. But not be wrong. And you know, gee, right.
“Except before we get to that announcements, do we have any?”
I don't have any announcements. Great. Let's go to RedCon. I'm going to live there for the next 20 minutes or so. We like to revisit past shows, the retroactive continuity, sometimes making corrections,
but often making reflections. I wanted to talk about 538 accounts, aka Trump accounts. We got two letters about the show that I wanted to share.
The first one was from a researcher at the Institute for Race Power and the Economy
at the New School in New York. And his letter pointed out something that we didn't stress on the show, which is that the idea of like a child saving account or child development account that was pioneered by Michael Schraden is almost like the generic version. Baby bonds is worth emphasizing our different brand and that they are a policy that is
geared more towards countering wealth inequality. So child savings accounts when they were originally proposed, we're about getting out of the cycle of poverty and offering savings vehicles in a way that our social safety net did not. Baby bonds in the iteration that came from the Institute for Race Power and the Economy's
lead, Derek Hamilton, are about using savings and government policy to address gross wealth inequality that exists between black and white Americans. Rich and poor Americans, but also black and white Americans. I put them all together as the same evolution, but they're different shades. There's different ideas, um, at their heart, okay, yeah, the other letter we got was from
Michael Schraden himself, who said that he liked the show. He appreciated our conversation and to leave you with a little bit of optimism. He said, we are working diligently to make the design of the quote unquote Trump accounts
“as effective as possible, including what you mentioned the most important part auto-enrollment.”
Great. So, like, teachers' pet right here, I'm dying. Excellent. Excellent. Very happy about that.
So, we should wrap. I don't think the show can go up from here. Well, I wanted to add on the Trump account, front, that I did read this story yesterday, that for all of you that are concerned about whether wealthy people are going to game the system, you'll be happy to know that there was a piece in the Wall Street Journal
on exactly how to max out this entire thing. If you're rich enough to put in $5,000 a year and then convert it all to a Roth when your
kid is in their 20s, that basis of the $5,000 a year will turn into over $3 million when
they turn $59. So, you know, read like a how-to. It was a how-to. It was 100% how-to and how to avoid being, you know, making sure that you do this when
You're young person is at a age where it's their tax rate, not your tax rate,...
get used.
You know, when the penalties will be lowest, I mean, it was, um, I had rich people going
to rich. Rich people going to rich, rich people going to rich people going to rich, that's very true. We could put that on the T-shirt, rich people going to rich. It's funny.
I had a conversation with a mom about the Trump accounts who had listened to the episode
“and she was like, but none of us would tell our children about them, will we?”
We don't want to. I wouldn't want to tell them that they have money because we were talking about how we both need to set up the accounts for our children who are eligible for them, especially my youngest who's going to be eligible for the $1,000 and she's like, yeah, but I'm not going to tell them I did it.
I don't want to tell a teenager that there's money when he turns an idea. That's a terrible idea. It made me think about what we talked about in the show about how there's like a culture around savings and there's something really funny about like, but you don't want to actually give cash to children, because I don't think you're speaking of them on here.
Do not tell them I have saved for them. Yeah. All right.
Second, retcon had to do with our AI episode where we talked about the impending job loss
and what it means and that show was less about AI and more about how do we deal with job loss throughout our careers and we spoke a lot about pivoting and I think another listener pointed out in a way that was kind of hilarious of like, how are you talking about career pivots between you and Robin and not bring up that you have both pivoted like that's two years, and she's like, like, to doing this podcast to doing this podcast.
Oh, yeah, we should journey, yeah, she was like, it was right there in front of you, but the Wall Street Journal had a piece on pivots from black women and finance information, professional business services, your typical white collar jobs that these black women are leaving kind of in the anti-DEI world that we're in now, promotions and hires for black women in those jobs are down from 2019.
So we're living in the world in which it is, it was already hard to be promoted as a black woman, but it is now markedly harder and they're leaving to start their own businesses.
“And I think the point that we didn't make that I, it was like, right there in front”
of me was it's not just job loss that makes you pivot.
It's also job dissatisfaction career dissatisfaction, seeing the writing on the wall and thinking
I don't want to be here in five years. People pivot in their career all the time and embracing that is like a staff for when job loss does occur or something that we don't do well in our labor market or our economy or policy, but we could do well and that starts with embracing the pivots that we have made and that others make.
Yeah. Okay, next chapter, terms and conditions, I have a real small one. Yeah, uh, British listener wrote in to say, "Chuffed, we used to actually happen." Thank you. We said dead chuffed, which he says is allowable, but it's not as delightful as, "I'm
chuffed to bits." "Chuffed to bits." Which is, which might be the most British thing I've ever heard. So my optimist goal for the day is to try to be chuffed to bits at some point. I think that's good. We should not try to be chuffed to bits every day for a little bit.
Chuffed to bits goal. The C.T.B. Chuffed to bits. That's my ammo. Okay.
I actually looked. Did you look up a real one? Did you look up a real one? I did. You looked up a real one.
Yeah. Did you look up a real one? I did. Yeah, sorry. I bought the economy.
Sure. Okay. I looked up spatial equilibrium, which I came across in a paper I was looking at. Which is apparently, I don't know, it's like, it's like water spreading evenly across a floor.
Right? It's, it's that all the places have the workers they need. And the workers have found the best place for themselves.
“Trying to think of the best way to, to phrase it, spatial equilibrium in the study of”
spatial equilibrium is almost like the steady states of where people live. So why do some people live in some locations and why do some locations grow in others not? And it's looking at like the whole board. Like I want to understand on net why everyone lives where they do.
The contrasting area of research is why people decide to move or not move. So one way of thinking about Americans packing up and moving is thinking about this decision on a personal level. Like why did you pack up and move? The other way to think about the economics of moving is seeing the whole board, the
location of where everyone lives and why they're in those locations. It's a very subtle difference, but it, it's subtle on the outset, but then the deeper you
Go, it's, it's a very different questions of like, well, how much is moving c...
What attracts you there? Yeah, it versus like amenities in a location relative to others, it just leads you down a very different line of thinking. This idea of individual optimization versus the, the spatial equilibrium. All right.
We'll be right back in a second for the big bilkro.
“Can I give a little note here at the top about why I wanted to do this?”
Yes. Okay. It had to do with something that a demographer told me, gosh, it's got to be 10, 15 years ago now about what he called the Great Suttling in. There's almost a myth that Americans are so noble and that in fact we have been moving less
and less and less and less for at that point, you know, decades. So, just to set a little context here in 2024, according to the American Community Survey, only 11.8% of people moved it all and that was a 76 year low. And only 2.1% moved to a new state, most people moved within their state or even within their community.
Anyway, so we want to talk about why that is, and is it a problem?
I think there's, there's certainly slots of economists to think it's a problem.
I can't throw in his waving. So anyway, do you think it's a problem and if so, why is it a problem if Americans are moving less? Hmm. Okay, is it a problem?
“I think it is the symptom of a problem, but not necessarily a problem.”
The problem itself. In it of itself. It's worth noting that like America is special and so many ways. We have such an awesome crazy country, but moving across the country, it's a very American thing.
We have periods in our history where you'll just see, you know, mass migration to other states. So you can think of like the California gold rush, the homestead acts and the settlement of the west, the Great Migration from South to North of Black Americans through the two waves of the Great Migration that ended around 1970.
I mean, we are people that like pack up and go, which is special. There are lots of countries aren't like this. But are we people who pack up and go? I mean, that's a fundamental question here. So we're still people that pack up and go, but I think the fact that we're moving less
would not be a problem. Let me answer it this way. Economists think that the three biggest components of why someone moves would be preferences, economic opportunity and the net of cost. So you want to move for some reason, you have economic incentives to move for some reason
and the cost isn't too high relative to what you think you'd gain. So the preferences one, I mean, shoot your shot. If people don't want to move as much as they used to, it's not clear we should care. If it's happy being settled in wherever they are. Yeah, if you're happy and you like where you are, there might be something to gain for
moving to another city, but who cares? If you're happy, this is why we have an economy is for you to live your best life and not for like worker bots to be assigned to their most productive place. But moving for economic opportunity, that has fallen a ton and that is a problem because the number one reason that people move is to take a new job and the decline and moves
that we've seen are really reflecting a decline in job opportunities writ large. That the US labor market, not just these past couple of years, but slowly since probably around 1990, we have had fewer and fewer job opportunities within our own life. And the lack of mobility in the labor market hurts wages. It hurts growth.
It hurts innovation. It hurts development. It hurts our incomes and not moving is like just a reflecting back out that the labor market is not as mobile as it used to be. Not mobile as in you move to another city, but mobile as in you take another job.
Right. Right. You just said the number one reason people move is to take a new job. What I was reading is the number one reason people move is actually to change houses. Oh, yeah.
“Well, so you're going to be like, when are one reason for people to move out of state?”
Like a big out of state move is is highly associated with job opportunity often complimented by preferences and cost right looking for a better job at a lower cost market to buy house or you like want to go back home and you find a job that works like the job. The income is like the key component that you just you're looking for income in that location. We don't really move for like benefits.
We don't really move because like food stamps is more our more generous in one state. Like we move for income and job markets. Yeah. There was an interesting Pew survey that they did in 2008 and it was called like why do people stay or go?
And basically the just of it was stairs largely stay for family and movers largely move for jobs.
Economists might be a little late to the game and study migration but for a l...
have studied labor markets within the US and differences between them.
“You can think of any job and I mean any job in the US and it will pay a different amount”
in different locations. Right. So it is a kind of like fundamental aspect of our labor market that the same job, same occupation, same industry, even the same employer could pay a different amount of different places.
So the question that economists have long had is if you could make more money in the same job somewhere else, why doesn't everyone just go? So this gets back to the spatial equilibrium of if you were to just tell someone and this like very simplified world, I have 100 people and 100 jobs and all 100 jobs pay differently. The spatial equilibrium would be everyone makes the same amount.
Because if a job offered more and one location people would move there but we don't see that. So the spatial equilibrium we have is much more complex of like amenities, preferences, cost, families because people don't move to take advantage of economic opportunity even though
“I could move to a place that pays more money for the job that I do now.”
Right. You know. I mean in the course of just thinking about this idea and doing a little bit of reading, I kind of went back and forth between, we need more people to move, it's fine that people don't move.
But one of the things that I came across which I had never thought about was people being
willing to do exactly what you're talking about moving from one spot to another that it actually closes the gap between regions and poor regions and that this was like kind of a long-standing understood macroeconomic trend. Is that exactly what you were just saying? Like if people are willing to leave your town to go get a job across the state line that
will pay them more eventually you're going to have to rage as wages to keep people there. Well, it's complicated kind of going back to your first question. Like is it good that people move? In some of them we don't know because we don't randomly assign people to move. Like it's not like I'll take 10,000 people and be like all right you guys here you go.
I'm throwing you across the US and we're going to see how you do. I mean, there's such high selection in who moves and that it's not random so we don't
“know if it's kind of like how much more money do you make by going to college?”
We'll never know because we don't randomly assign people to go to college.
The people who go tend to be people who have either an academic inclination or rich families that want them to go to college and they're in a network of rich people like the family they come from. So it's will never know how exactly how much money you'll get from college for that reason. Same thing with moving.
We don't know how beneficial moving is to people because the people who move already had some inclination and means to go anyway. Keep going. There's also good moves and there's bad moves, right? We count them all somewhat equally.
I mean, I guess maybe how to state moves and moves for jobs specifically are different. But there's also there's bad reasons to move. That's as evictions job loss versus moving because you got a job. I'm thinking of moves is really being like moving outside of your labor market, which is often outside of states, but like you you're in one labor market you go to another
labor market that can often extend over state lines. So moving from like I moved from one part of town to another part of town or I'm moved from this apartment to this apartment. That economically that doesn't really count pretty. It doesn't matter as much as moving to take advantage of economic opportunities or moving
as a function of like your economic preferences moving you to another labor market. We tend to think about it as within and without your labor market. So economists have looked at this for a while because they want to understand how moving kind of changes the spatial equilibrium after say like a plant closes. Like there's a shock to a labor market or a city so the thought is that people moving
from that city and going somewhere else is like one form of economic. Yeah, you're reallocating the spatial equilibrium which helps people who move because they're going to a place with higher wages and then it helps people who stay behind because
they're like alleviating some of the joblessness from the city because it's basically
being exported somewhere else. So all of these things that economists look at people moving to take a new job, people moving maybe it's just because of preferences, people moving across labor markets because of a shock, all of them are declining. And so some of it could be I'm happy where I am, but given that this is a way to deal
with an economic storm, it's not good that people aren't utilizing it. That part is concerning. This is almost like a feedback loop. Now that people aren't moving to go to a better labor market that makes certain labor markets a lot worse because we don't have this outside option that people take advantage
of to keep things moving. Let's go back to our favorite example of Jamesville.
Jamesville loses one of the highest paying largest employers for workers with...
degree in the city.
“It then shuts down another place of employment which was a supplier to the general motors”
factory.
You have all these people who have lost jobs in one version of the world, some of them
leave, some of them stay and find new jobs immediately or take a long time to find new jobs after say a period of retraining, but hopefully not too many drop out of the labor force. What we have seen over the past, it's hard to say when this started, it's what we have seen recently, I can say that vaguely enough is that rather than packing up and shipping
out, you're seeing just a lot of people leave the labor force and they'll just stop work and they won't work again, they'll try to get on disability, they'll try to double up and live with family or they'll just wait it out until they get social security
with a little bit of their savings, but they won't go back and that's horrible.
Sorry to be the last one, I'm so horrible because I know I can sound like a cruel, heartless economist and be like, let's get them workers and jobs, go, get a job, let's go, we're not great for anybody to not have that, I don't know option, jobs are good for people, frankly, yeah, jobs are good for people, income is good for people, wages are good for people, yeah, we can do a little bit of scene setting because I think no doubt
everybody is thinking, but afraid to say in front of me because I'm so sensitive, isn't this because of housing? So there's kind of two people are, there's an assertion, including
“in a large book recently released, that that's what's keeping people stuck in place is”
the high cost of housing and so nobody can afford to move. Yes, evidence there is really weak, I think it's true, this is like being a demographer, it's definitely true, there are people who don't move because housing is too expensive there or they're locked into an expensive housing where they are, but people have been looking for that in broader studies of economic mobility and they haven't really seen it. And part because homeowners move
live 50 years ago, homeowners moved at like a fourth of the rate of renters from various demographics, so a 5% of homeowners move, 10 to 20% of renters will move. When you close your eyes and you think of like the modal cross state mover in the US, that person is under 20, what do I think of the, what do I think of the modal cross state mover? Would you often do, I often do, I think about them often of the modal cross state mover, but it's like
they're under 35, they're single and they rent and they pack up and go, they're mobile and every sense of the word and they pack up and go because all of those things having a home, having a partner, kids, having kids, all that makes it harder to move. And that's
always been the case, it's not like the affordability issues of the past two to five years
are freezing American movement, the decline of American movement is almost as old as I am, if not older, and the patterns of young single renters being the majority of moves is also older than I am. I mean, you, you just young people have a lot higher tolerance for things like they live in, yeah, they double up, they have roommates, they have strategies for making a city affordable, so if you look at like the most unaffordable cities in the
West, they are still the highest rates of young people moving there, it's New York, LA, Houston, Houston at Atlanta, and then Chicago to some degree, because even in San Francisco, like
“the most expensive place, you know, in California, I think it's seen a rebound of young”
people moving there. When we say, why are people moving across labor markets less, we are in some ways asking why young people are moving less, because older people, homeowners, married people, people who are, you know, been at a good job for five years, they just they move less frequently, yeah, and which would be expected, right, which would be expected. And then there's also the, we have had a wild ride through housing over this century, given
the housing bubble, it's crash, the number of people who were foreclosed, who were a negative equity on their homes, and then the era of almost no interest rates that people took advantage of, and this kind of recent spike we've been in over the past two to four years of both high interest rates and high home prices, like the worst of all worlds. But through that variation, people have looked to see how much house lock contributes to unemployment, or
how much house lock prevents people for moving, working virtually, how much things like
A housing collapse with people will take advantage of to move into buy the ch...
and it's not, like, they just really don't find a lot of strong evidence. So just to be sure, I understand what you're saying, housing prices have gone up and down, and it's not, they don't seem to be causing either an increase in moving or a decrease in moving, that
“the moving is on its own trajectory. Yes. Okay. The way that I think about it is, if people”
were just moving for housing, you'd have a lot of people who have moved to Nevada in 2009, which was one of the epicenter of the home price collapse. I mean, you had houses for sale for half of what they were, but people didn't take advantage of that because people don't move exclusively for housing. It's like a joint decision where they have to find the economic possibility, and then they look for housing. And so I think you can think of this as almost
like an ordered problem, where part one problem, people aren't getting as many job opportunities
writ large in the US, including some across labor markets. And then the second problem
would be even if they did, it could be that housing is too expensive. But the, those like because housing is too expensive is a relative term, because you're talking about a group of people that tend to have much lower housing preferences as opposed to home owners. Right. Okay. You know, just because there's cheap living somewhere in the US does not mean that people move there. Well, the other thing that's funny to me is that it would seem like
it's easier to search for a job in a remote location now than any time in the past. I mean, maybe that's good, maybe that's bad. Maybe it's like, well, I've looked at the opportunities that are available to me in Tulsa. And it's not worth going. There's been some research into this. One of the papers found that we might have too much information that part of moving across labor markets, there's a degree of experimentation.
“Maybe, like, almost like, ignorance is bliss. Like, I think of my brother graduating”
college packing up his car driving to LA. Yeah. Just always wanted to go. And people do it.
They do it all the time. And they do it. They show up at your all the time. Yeah. But there's some degree to which that happens less because people, you know, they try to get a job before or they do a lot of research on housing and they just decide it's not worth it. Like, it's almost like the amount of information that you can access about another location, can scare you off. And what that probably means is that a lot of people moved and had
catastrophic consequences and had to move that home. And we don't see that. But the idea that you just, you pack up and go happens less. I, I mean, I think this is a natural place to talk about our first moves. I'm from Texas. I went to UT Austin. And after I graduated, I spent a year living and working abroad. And I came home unemployed in the summer of 2008. So this is not good timing there. Bad, very bad. And I had no way of knowing. I'm just
like, oh, I have a college degree. I'll be fine. I applied for 50 jobs. And I got one call back from a think tank in DC who did an interview over the phone. And then over the phone, they offered me a job. And it was over Labor Day weekend. I started the Tuesday after Labor Day weekend. And I flew to DC. That's not true. I couldn't afford to take it to DC. I flew to Baltimore on a one way ticket from Houston with a suitcase. It wasn't even
a large suitcase. Like it was a sad little suitcase that had in total three days of professional clothing. So I could work. I had something to wear Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. And I was like, praying that we had casual Friday. I sort of bounced around, you know, I graduated into a recession. And so I had a really low paying hourly reporting job. And then I actually did an internship after that at the LA Times. And then I went to graduate school, you know,
hi, I was from Ohio. And I could knock it back to LA fast enough. I applied for a job at the LA Times peak circulation. It was just before the internet broke everything about the news media. And they paid for me to move. And they sent a moving truck to my parents house, put me up in a studio apartment until I found a place to rent. Yeah, nobody gets to move like that anymore. Oh my god, Robin, journalists are canceling you as we speak. Because
the LA Times boot you. Oh my god, it was, it was a long time ago. And I did have to pay taxes on the cost of the move. It was imputed income, which I didn't have a lot of money
to pay those taxes when that taxable game do. Oh my god, that first job somewhere else.
“I was living with a cousin. I mean, I, I didn't have a place to, of my own. I think for”
almost three months, which is kind of crazy because she was very pregnant. And I'm basically
In the baby's room.
been able to move if they hadn't, if I didn't have cousins there, if I hadn't got the
job over the phone. Moving, but moving is hard. I mean, like, when you're young, it's an adventure. And, but when you're, you and I have both moved in the last, you moved when love like, under a year ago. I moved just over a year ago. It's pricey. It's expensive. And you weren't even changing jobs. I can understand why, like, the speculative move to a new place for a, for a new career is just beyond people's retry. Or you just, you get to a certain
age and comfort level. And you're like, I'm fine. Like, this is spatially equilibrium of, like, I know I could make more money there. But I don't want to go there. I'm happy here. Who wants to make new friends at 40? Yeah. I could tell you, it's not easy. Yeah. You know, and
“you're leaving people behind, leaving networks behind. It all has a cost. I think what I”
find troubling about moving is that the decline in moving aligns so well with the decline
of worker power in our labor market. The problem there going back to spatially equilibrium is that we are starting to see this lack of mobility almost like compound across cities where cities that have the high wage markets that have lots of job opportunities become more more expensive relative to low wage cities. And that this, this lack of movement essentially is skewing our spatial equilibrium. So where it should be that there are people
moving back and forth, one in search of high wages, one in search of lower cost of living. And this kind of compresses cities, you're starting to see cities really, really, really pull away from each other. And that's not just housing. That's also labor market policy. Since the federal government stopped carrying about the minimum wage or labor law enforcement,
“that's now all set on a local level, which, like, great. If you live in one of those places,”
bad if you don't, like, the acceleration of wage growth in a place like Seattle would both make it harder to move to a place like Seattle and less appealing for someone from Seattle to move to, say, accurate. And, like, maybe they're from accurate and they want to move back, but like the different, like, the, like, the, like, the pay cut they're going to take to do it. Yeah, and the pay cut and the cost of living cut is, this is too
much. I mean, it's definitely an argument for why remote work could help a lot of places because if you didn't have to give up as much salary, but could move other places, people would move. I would say case and point, you know, my husband and I moved to Houston, which is by no means a struggling city, but we moved here because we kept our jobs. We were able to pick out where we could go, which is why despite having kids and a mortgage
and being married, we were able to move labor markets because we, we kept our employer, not employer in my case, but job. Yeah, no, I, we did this, I mean, we did the same thing in Spokane. I could work remote and I did for two and a half years. Working remote,
“I think we all went through it on some level of, like, even if you didn't have a remote”
job, you knew that people were working remote and then employers called it back, and I got asked by so many journalists, why are people going back to work? Like, what is the reason? And I was like, yeah, workers have less power and employers gave an amenity away for free that workers really valued that they could translate into so many aspects of their lives, of easier commute, better house, lower cost of living. I mean, it was a massive
amount of power that employers gave to workers in a crisis and almost as soon as they could, they clawed it back with all the intensity of, like, we have to be there five days a week because of culture of, like, sure, sure. But employers rarely give away something for free. And I think that working remotely is a great example of, like, how people had mobility and it was reduced and this worsens our prospects for things like moving.
I was sort of surprised how little, again, it's a little bit how journalism isn't always
reflective of reality. Like, the number of stories about remote working and people moving away to someplace low cost, that how actually little of that actually happened and that most remote work really now is people working from home two or three days a week but still working for a local employer that there aren't a lot of, I mean, even either programs like the famous one isn't Tulsa, Oklahoma, to draw remote workers to a new city with the idea that they're going to bring
income into the city but also, you know, they do other things they're like, try to get them to be entrepreneurial and starting new businesses and, I don't know, like, 5,000 people. It's some very small number of people who have done these kind of remote, like, formal, we give you $10,000
To move programs.
people, Kentucky had a program wrap relocation assistance program where if you got a job somewhere
and you were on welfare they would pay you to move. It was like a thousand bucks but they would that's a pay you to. It sounds kind of nice but also kind of like, yeah, it's a crazy ass out here. You could either view it as kind or unkind or like unkind. We, you're poor and you're on welfare, we want to pay for you to leave but kind being, if you get a job that you can't take, isn't that against the whole idea of getting people off welfare and they found it was, I mean, people who
took advantage of it did have higher earnings in the long run. So we, I think that there's going to be a lot more salience for move assistance in the future. I've thought for a long time
“that you should be able to, if you are on unemployment insurance, you should be able to take it”
as like a one-time cash payout and you can move. I, you know, it's funny. I think that's one of
the reasons I first started thinking about moving again was because of that conversation about unemployment
insurance and I did find that there was a bill proposed in 2019 of course that disappeared in the and the great wash of the pandemic but that it did in fact, it was a $2,000 credit for people who had suffered job loss to relocate to a place to get another job. I'm I think in the future you might see policies that are, you know, you could have a version of unemployment where you basically get a cash payout to pay you to go somewhere else and that would be very good for the economy and for that
person to be able to leave a bad labor market, helping people start a new life is good and they might not thrive in that life. Good for the economy. Yeah. It's so guarantee that they'll thrive
and have a better job and better everything but they could do, they could do better. I guess the
other aspect of optimism here is not just that like, all right, so I said at the beginning it's it's preferences, it's economic opportunity and income and then it's cost and policy can't do anything
“about preferences. It can do a lot of things directly about cost. I think the optimism for me is”
knowing how much of this is about the labor market and making the labor market better for somebody else does help you. Your labor market, which is dynamic and complex and myriad and exist in every locality, is better off when there aren't people who don't have sick days in it. When there aren't people who could be making 725 an hour in it that helps you and I think we see so much of policy is like what flows through me. Right. But the broader kind of slowdown and labor mobility
is not fixed through just targeting you. You don't need to be unemployed to benefit from a better unemployment system or have a lack of paid sick days to make it good that someone else has then like we are so interconnected on each other sometimes and the labor market is where that is the most obvious place. To me that's optimistic, I mean even at it's height, non-competes, I mean the estimates vary but it was like 15% of workers and yet it is pointed to as like a major
chokehold of job-to-job mobility. Not because a hundred percent of people had non-competes but because maybe 15% of them did. So what does that say about a policy targeted towards mobility and one part of our labor market that it could have massive dividends for you? If you could increase things 15% that you could really move a needle. You can move the needle and I guess the labor market in some ways it's easy to move the needle in both directions and we don't sure sure have them
been doing it a lot on workers. Should have been doing it more on workers behalf haven't done it
“so much lately but I think that that means like we could. It's hard to quantify like the benefits”
of our labor market getting these types of like small improvements. I mean you might not even feel it in your life but then you know people would move more and that would and you would I know I just I to me I'm again capitalist at heart but also like labor economist at heart and I do think the labor market is everything and we can make it a lot better and it would help with things like this. All right you reached an optimistic note I think we should stop there. Okay and we will
actually stop. We're going to take a quick break and we'll be right back with executive orders and spiritual sponsors. And we're back Catherine it's time for executive orders. I'm like looking at our show notes and I feel like mine's really long. You're executive order? Yeah. Barbit can Catherine make her executive order less than 10 minutes long. We'll see fam. I'm not going to go into how much I outlined. I will just say that my executive order is that we need to do through one of the
streaming platforms. Obviously it needs a box office release but I would like to do a four part series on Francis Perkins and every episode is a movie that's a different part of her life.
I envision she's played by four different actresses starting from when she's ...
social worker on the street to like she's retired and she's at Cornell. I've got people in mind. I've got plots in mind. I've got storylines. I have like pivotal moments. I definitely have the trailer
for the first one live and rent free up here and thank you production for this question. Francis Perkins
was the first female cabinet member. She was the labor secretary under FDR. She oversaw the creation and implementation of the Social Security Act, the National Labor Relations Act and the Fair Labor Standards Act, the three broad and vitally important pieces of social legislation and then that were the heart of the New Deal. So she is the New Deal. And she took the New Deal to FDR. She wasn't like, "Hey, Franny, can you do this?" She was like, "Yo, Franny, I'm not taking this job
unless I get to do all of this." She has lots of cool moments in her life. I think this is the part. I just want to see on film. I'm going to keep it a tight 20. Don't worry. But like,
she's getting lunch with a friend when the triangle shirt waist fire happens and she runs
to the fire to the scene of the fire and she watches the thing from the street and then she will become head of the safety industrial safety committee in New York. Inspired by that moment because she doesn't think it should happen again. I mean, they were locked inside. I'm just saying, "We don't need to like, I don't work in Netflix, you're not pitching me this right?" Or, hold on, how about when he gets elected to a fourth term? It's like 44. She's passed everything,
but the war has dimied her efforts. She's been 12 years there and she's like Franklin.
“I am resigning. You need to pick somebody else. And on an auguration day, she's like, "Okay,”
this would be the moment to say to press release, who used going to replace me. I would like to
quit now." And he says, "You can't, I'm sorry. I can't do it without you and you can't leave." And then they both saw a while holding hands in the oval office and he dies a few months later. Right? Have you seen that? I mean, how many people want an Oscar out there? Ladies? Let's make this happen. I mean, there's an Oscar worthy moment in every one of the chapters I put out. Okay, so I talked for a long time. Do you make happen? I think it's so excited.
All right, so my executive order is that I have an empowered with the ability to generate the storyline. A lot of production notes, casting, decision, authority, and veto for Francis Perkins for me. What's a good executive order is give me a movie studio. Give me my executive order that I need to be in charge of some like a labor-oriented movie studio. This is another one of my projects. What is your executive order? My executive order is
stop telling me how early you get up in the morning. All of you. I don't care. I really get up in the morning. I need sleep. I don't want to be sleep-shamed. I don't care. I have one more, which is from
“Marco and Seattle. Marco says election day should be a federal holiday, which I think we can all just”
agree. But he also says it should be on Friday so that everyone has the whole weekend to party with the results or just get over it by Monday. Which I was like, "Good reasoning. I like it." I love it. I love it. Okay, spiritual sponsors. My spiritual sponsor is the motto of the National Consumers League back in their heyday of being at the frontier of social work and social legislation in the U.S., which was investigate, agitate, legislate. Put that on a t-shirt. Put that
on a t-shirt. My spiritual sponsor this week is the Angel City Football Club, which is currently topping the rankings of the National Women's Soccer League. Nice to meet them are the Houston Dash and remind us of the Houston Dash. I don't know how that will be. If that will still be the case by the time this airs. But it's been a long four years of not great results for this team. And so enjoying these early, early weeks of the season. Y'all, Robin, add another 10. And that's
where Houston is. But if this is the final episode of office to economy, it is because Angel
“City and the Dash are one and two in the rankings and they play each other on Friday. So honestly,”
Robin, it's been nice. It's been nice. It's been this is great. I feel like we give people optimism and it falls apart over a petty rivalry. That's okay. That's okay. That's okay. Credits? Credits. I rewrite the credits every week so that just keep you on your tail. So if you notice that, that's so too. Where I'm like, the podcast is economy optimist is edited by Ron and Andy. Sophie. Okay. The optimist economy podcast is edited by Sophie Lamond. Andy Robinson edits all of
Our videos, which you can find on TikTok, Instagram, YouTube, or LinkedIn.
where even our free subscribers can post to our chat. And we're fellow optimist, share news,
“articles, and thoughts. This podcast is a production of the 501c3 non-profit that”
is optimist economy and it is still entirely supported by listeners like you. At optimistaconemy.com,
you can support the show and ladies, I want you to know that we also have a women's t-shirt for sale
“just for you. In addition to the hat. In addition to the hat, if you're watching the videos,”
the hat that Catherine is wearing right now. Thanks Andy. Thanks Sophie. Snap and you have.
you


