They likely hood.
We don't know for sure, but the Democrats have come out saying they are fearful based on what they are saying that the likelihood
We are gonna put boots on the ground isn't creasing whether or not we trust them. I don't know, but I gotta be honest I don't think Democrats are actually fearful of it
“I think they're talking at the side of their mouths going like, oh, no”
I hope we don't have boots on the ground. Link. Yeah, at the same time Israel is calling up 100,000 reservists and the question there is for what purpose do you need 100,000 people active across the country? Well, to be fair, there's probably ground operations in Israel They do need people for but a hundred thousand is quite a bit and then there's the ultimate logic which is How do you guarantee that the regime you've or I should say the supreme leader that you've taken out and his leadership is not replaced by the exact same structure
You can't unless there is some form of occupation So perhaps it won't be direct U.S. troops, but it seems incredibly likely this will be the outcome and That appears to be an ever-increasing opinion that people are having, but again We're gonna see and we're gonna show you exactly what the Democrats is blue and thall you saying I fear it's going to happen as well as the the information that we've been getting
from Israel, but when you factor in those fears and I think again the general assessment and fears people have With the fact that a U.S. base was just struck by a run and that a CIA Facility was also just struck by a run and that they've been striking civilian targets and they've they've shut down the state of Formus If we don't get a hand-alone this quickly and actually stop their government and their
capability to fight which again Trump says we've done largely But if they're allowed to continue it's going to cause severe economic crisis around the around the planet, which means again I think the general assessment is how do you solve this unless you actually get people into shut down Those military capabilities so we're gonna talk about that but my friends. There's much much bigger news I know it's funny to say right, but in Texas
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“And that's what we want to see and so we're gonna be tracking those election results out of Texas”
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Joining us tonight to talk about this and so much more is Austin Rogers. Hey, Austin Rogers
Running for Congress in the second congressional district and
Of Florida good point from the Panhandle and for the Panhandle is our slogan and You know in my district it matters that you know how to throw a cast net that you know how to tie a fishing knot
I know how to do that, but also have experience in Washington serving as chie...
So not a swamp creature, but know the swamp no first hand how it's broken and looking forward to fixing it right on should be fun
Good time to join with all these politics and the war stuff. So great to have you. We have another man here Well, hey Adam Johnson here all third terrorist and all around nice guy I'm also running for office not Congress. It is a magnetic kind of commission and I need your help You can go to vote Adam Johnson dot com don't need to my campaign It's looking really good. We're out raising almost everyone in my race right now and I'm going back to the government food being prison
Yeah Oh, it's going to be fun good to have you brother. Lippies here. I'm hanging out glad to be here with you guys I'm Libby Amons. I'm the host of the pod millennial new podcast our episode with your favorite podcast host Tim pool drop today. So I'm really excited about that. And I hope you could check it out. I don't
Hello everybody my name is filibanti. I'm the lead singer the heavy metal and all it remains. I'm an anti-communist and a counter-revolutionary Carter
What's up everyone Carter banks here? Holding it down button-wise and delivering a great show for y'all Tim lunch back Adam go to see you again It's been a couple of couple of weeks maybe and then you let's do it. Yeah, thanks for coming out. All right Let's get it. We got the story from the Washington Examiner Senate Democrat quote more fearful than ever of US troop deployment to Iran after briefing And you know, I'm going to say it outright
“They don't actually think he's fearful at all. I think he got a briefing and inside they're all going like whoa”
And they started jumping up on the table and clicking their heels and doing a tap dance and then they'll like stop stops stop stop calm down Pokerface poker face I'm just so worried about boots on there. I only play the video for you and stop goofing off. Here you go I just want to say I am more fearful than ever after This briefing that we may be putting boots on the ground and that
troops from the United States may be necessary to accomplish Objectives that administration seems to have but I also And no more clear on what the priorities are going to be of even this nation going forward Whether it is destroying the nuclear The capacity of Iran for some food and missiles for some of these regime change
For stopping terrorist activities and I think administration Those it's the American people To have briefings not just for men to Congress but for the American public Nothing here Should have been classified
“So I'm going to go and say yeah, I think there's probably a boots on the ground. We have this from a times of Israel”
This is actually an older story from few days ago IDF mobilizes 100 thousand Reservists amid war with Iran So we have all of these indicators and I think to the point made by Senator Blumenthal They're getting these briefings and I believe what you're getting is
They would never and they couldn't ever come out and just say we have out a cloud war in Iran and what's sending in the troops because there would be
Revolt instantly So what you need is some kind of chaos is belly and then after that some kind of justification for Furtherance of that war we have had a U.S. air base struck We have had a CIA facility struck with a straight-of-war moves closed all of these things are causing the water to boil and at a certain point You are going to have in my opinion. I'm not saying for sure, but if this continues like this
You will then get you know heads at the or Trump or someone coming out being like You know we lost so so many American lives today It's unfortunate we may have no choice but to shut them down. They refuse to surrender and that's when you start getting an escalation of boots on the ground now Again with what we've seen in Ukraine? They don't play that game anymore where they're like deploy the troops they go a coalition of volunteers have decided to go in
Many of them of course are U.S. veterans who are being paid Circusly through various means, but ultimately the sources of the funding is the U.S. government and the U.S. is an involved so I Expect the possibility of special forces limited U.S. military engagement With support from private military contractors which are effectively
“U.S. forces however, I believe the most likely outcome is going to be IDF moving in and shutting this down”
And I think the attacks that we've seen and the closure of the straight-of-war moves are going to be the principal causes or I should say justifications Yeah, I mean without objection my first reaction is on the declaration of war front That's something that according to article one congress does and that is a speech act that invites all sorts of
Differences of legal rights, you know, they can create a blockade that helps them control the economy So you know article two the executive acting in a way that's
Addressing conflicts and hostilities is quite a different thing than a declar...
I think Trump has shown with Venezuela and with
Iran previously that he's been pretty surgical and that he's willing to take isolated sort of discrete movements to address the issue so I would I would argue that Venezuela was done as a surgical strike because of the war with Iran That we knew Iran was going to close the straight-of-war moves and for those and I want to pull this up because I know There's a lot of people who
You know, they tune in because they want to watch General news and get service level stuff and this can get particularly esoteric as it were Yeah, so let me let me grab the the map here and here's the straight-of-war moves Let me zoom out so you can see where it is here's Iran here's uh, you know Saudi Arabia Then you've got you know Israel right here so the Persian Gulf is here
You've got the Mediterranean okay so European countries Russia Turkey et cetera Transport goods for the Suez Canal and the Red Sea for which they've been threatened substantially by Houthi rebels in Yemen right here They've actually been bombing cargo vessels and that's been disastrous you also have here the straight-of-war moves
“Now this is about I believe it's a three mile wide stretch of water where 20% of global”
Gas oil and natural gas flows through and Iran has basically said we're going to shut that down
Right, so Trump He's probably sitting around to boys and they're like is she we go in and just bomb the Ayatola and they probably said They're immediately gonna shut the straight-of-war moves and we're gonna lose 20% of global oil trade and wipe out the global economy So Trump says what can we do and like well, yeah, look, I mean Venezuela does have a massive chunk of that and we could easily go in and knock on Medoro And so I believe the move against Medoro was actually a precursor to the strikes on it run
Yeah, I think that's exactly right in fact And I was thinking about that today and then you also had Trump saying that he was going to work to open the straight-of-war moves and have Escorts of the tankers going through their Trump has been seizing tankers in the Caribbean sea So that's been really interesting
“But this is what we have here's another WMD oil war, right? I mean, that's what's going on every every time every time and this is something that specifically”
Maga voters We're thinking they were voting for Trump against things like WMD oil wars Trump had said we were gonna get out of Afghanistan now Biden ended up doing that and did it wrong in the Democrats were against it anyway But we have this situation and I think also what you have is the I think that Trump's inability to prevent the war in Ukraine to like get that stopped has been really wrinkling and so he's going after
As well Russian allies, right like Venezuela around these Russian allies you'll notice like China and Russia have not been coming in To Iran's aid and this is the situation where Trump is going to go after all of the oil now I do think this is my last point. I do think that if it goes beyond the you know two weeks to stop the stress spread I mean I mean I mean four to stop the Iran four to five weeks that that have been promised I think that's going to be a concern because
“This was a promise made now four to five weeks, right? I think this might be that that's all that maga has the stomach for”
Real quick, I just must dress the sheer absurdity that is the neocons who hated Donald Trump And fought against him are screaming and shearing and the populist right is losing it pissed off So just for for accuracy the the straight is actually 21 miles and I'll talk about my bad narrows point And I have a bit of a different perspective than then then let me I do think that this is actually the Venezuelan the the Iran Up is actually more about China than it is about Russia
I think that it's about trying to Limit China's ability to get oil trying to get China takes like 80% of the oil from Iran Iran's exported
Go basically directly from Iran to China because the sanctions and stuff like that in China doesn't mind going around the sanctions
China is our greatest geopolitical Rival right now Russia's not really I mean they show that they're a paper tiger They can't even beat little Russia so Sure, but I mean it's not that stopped. I mean he he can't hand on stopping it within 24 hours and it's been over a year I mean he may want that stop, but I don't think that this actually has as much effect on Russia as it does have on China
And then as for like a long term The administration made a bad move by even putting any kind of time frame when they were starting out and they were saying look This is open ended. This is gonna be longer than just a strike. This is something that that it might take a while That was probably the best messaging that they had at the time by by talking about boots on the ground or talking about
You know, an end to it or whatever
Then they put a time limit in people's heads
They just recently started launching B-52s which means they've taken out the the vast majority of the threats because you put first B-2s when there's
“You put in bait B-2s the stealth bomber when there's serious threats B-1s go in when the threats have kind of knocked down a little bit”
Then B-52s can fly at 55,000 feet, but those are easily taken out by air defense So essentially the air defenses in Iran are gone So so Iran is notorious for being mountainous with heavy air anti air defense and the US is US relies on air superiority So this is has been one of the principal issues with you the US moving in on Iran for the whole time
So taking out those those anti air surface to air missiles was the key thing in this job done
I just want to say I am of course as a millennial skeptical on these regime change wars for which this absolutely is I'm gonna piss off a lot of people when I say this, but I just love the masculinity of it. Let me explain The reporting is that the Trump bad men went to sit down. I mean it figuratively. They had a meeting with the the Iranian government Who stated we have enough facade material for 11 bombs. That's where we're starting the negotiation and Trump's response was that I'm going to kill you and again
I'm not suggesting I support the strikes or the invasion of Iran I'm not a staunch anti Trump I'm not I don't believe I'm I would call intervention skeptic general anti intervention
“And I think the issue is the potential for instability knocking out a big player like Iran and the blowback we could get that being said”
There is just something satisfied in finally having a world leader who's going to like Obama saying we're gonna give you as much money as you want we want to buy you into the system Just this is not the way you solve problems with ideological psychopaths I am not suggesting that it means we should be bombing them. It's just There's just something visceral about Trump's response to the world stage
Now I'll give him a little a little pushback. I wish he had that same decisiveness Domestically which he does not seem to show especially with the riots and the protests and the democratic party
Sometimes not always but you know there I said it is what it is
Hopefully this doesn't result in massive regional instability Protesters are you no I'm talking about Trump coming out and saying shut your mouth I'm talking about Trump when a Democrats and and and when the Democrats says well Trump you know The people of a right to protest and in Minnesota and Trump goes shut up as in close your mouth and stop talking I wish you would do that. I wish you would do that really don't don't you think that that would just backfire
Ernie and I like I got to shut their mouth. They would I'll just wind more I just I'm using that as a gag for the most part to say Trump has not been decisive on issues of these riots and the unrest As much as I would like him to be yeah, and what more do you want him to do? I would have liked to see
“Oh, man because I think he has been 2022. I don't think so. I think I think home in”
I think they they've generally cracked down the Tom home in said when he went to Minnesota You know, I'm paraphrasing of course. We had problems. I wouldn't be here if that wasn't the case and I think the the actual issue is Trump Doesn't prioritize that I let's be completely real. I think that when all this minutes off is going going on this is the real plan
Trump is is working on a Probably how much money do you think it cost to launch this operation? I mean a trillion now something insane amount of money And so someone goes to him and says mr. President is a bunch of angry leftist throwing snowballs and getting into fights He's like I don't care deal with it And so my my principle issue is we get this super masculine
You know, it rock like I could throw some shade of Trump he said we knocked out their nuclear program in the 12 day war Well obviously the war was not 12 days. It is now ongoing from that point on history We'll look at it as one conflict right now
The structure about 101.5 billion dollars total for the one and a half billion since the start yeah
It's a lot less than I thought less than the semalees have taken a lot less than it's really My point is You know Trump's Trump's heavy priority has been an international engagement and I feel like he deferred a lot of domestic stuff to his administration is staff and we have seen the far left basically getting away with murder Literally in in in many states we see criminals being released and
What the American people who support Trump want is not an Incursion into a run which is why the base is split they want to see corrupt politicians be prosecuted Investigated otherwise and they ain't getting it there. They're not and again. I'm not saying it's been all that I I say generally net positive in a lot of areas But again going going in on fourth Iran is
I mean this is a If you're talking about political risk
Donald Trump being like well we could declare the insurrection act
We could send in federal investigators to to look into what's going on with, you know, Tim Waltz the guy he hired like a lot of various issues We could do that it's politically tumultuous But I will bomb Iran. It's like wow bombing Iran is tenfold more it's like more difficult to do In terms of decision making then the domestic actions we want to see To hold accountable corrupt politicians and far left extremists
Well, he's running a line with what he did during the summer of love right he during COVID He kind of left things to the states to governors to manage their own things and we saw that turn data
“I mean they were literally cities being taken over so he's been consistent in that I think when he ran”
In 24 and I mean I vote a form in 1620 and 24 and my biggest thing was I got five kids One is of draft age to our approaching to after age. I don't want new war And what he ran on mostly for 24 my opinion. It was the economy and Whether we like it or not America is a war economy and doing these moves making these maneuvers This is how we get our economy back on track. I you know, I agree. I think that the if if Trump pulls this off
People need to understand that U. S. Hegemonic power means you live comfortably I just these liberals And and I can respect the libertarians in this regard because they don't that they know the facts and they'll make the arguments and say I don't think it's worth and I think the end results often like I respect their arguments
But the point is the argument I have with libertarians on intervention is
After the fact the reality is we live very comfortably because we blow people up who don't get on the petro dollar or
Threatened global trade routes which is basically the deal we have these countries like hey You're going to trade oil. It's going to be clean safe and you have to worry about it because we're going to send our aircraft carriers around and police the seas So when Iran is acting a fool our customers are going Look we use your currency for the oil that we're selling but we can't even trade in this region without getting bombed and Trump's like
“Okay, that's why it's so easy and my this is honestly why it is easier in my opinion for every administration to go to war because”
Domestically you can lose elections you can lose power Foreign intervention for the most part American so care about foreign policy Like I know they pulled people and they're mostly opposed to the strikes and a run But I got to be honest if I walk down the street and ask somebody What you care more about you know the upcoming season insert sports or
War with Iran the go who yeah people with an opinion on Iran should be forced to point it out of a map first before their opinion counts
I think that's true for everything yeah, you know, so anybody who comes is like I think it's wrong that we're attacking Iran I'm like and where is it? Yeah To your point earlier and into something that you said I think Republicans There's a strong contingent of Republicans that are rightly skeptical of forever wars of
wars of You know foreign intervention
“But I think Trump has demonstrated time and again in this administration that he is being surgical he is”
Not getting us embroiled and forever wars. He is being quite Isolated and surgical and how he's treating this and I don't know Why we wouldn't trust him for this one? Well, let's let's demonstrate for the times of Israel Iranian missile hits U.S. base at aloudeed no casualties cotari defense ministry We also have I don't know where the other story is
There was a CIA I thought I pulled up somewhere CIA facility and Saudi Arabia. Oh, here is I got it I got it was just in the wrong war CIA station and Saudi capital hit in drone attack the strikes in a reout come is around Widen's retaliation across the Middle East in the wake of U.S. Israeli bombing campaign so far Trump's surgical strike has just been Venezuela
and yeah, you know great job. I don't think you can accomplish what you want to accomplish with Iran in the same way and so I think it's a fair argument to say You know we had just referenced Senator Blumenthal who said based on the briefing that I got I am more fearful than ever that we'll have boots on the ground I I I defy anybody tell me how we remove the Islamic
Fundamentalist government without occupation we just removed a broad swath of their major Political and military leaders through one Isolated operation and they and they voted in a new guy and they've got and then you guys the son of the old guy Yeah, but I mean there's also political up people going on like she knows how much staying power that's going to have But as the end result that we we end up with an ISIS like state of chaos and and forever
I mean Libya is a is I mean the state of Libya since NATO decided to go in and bomb the place and and and a cat cadafi yeah, you know Hillary Clinton said we can we saw he died Is that how we're gonna leave? Iran Iran is not Libya. It is not Afghanistan. It is not Iraq
You've got what is it 90 million people something like that it is it is going to like if if you create a power vacuum in Iran
The most brutal guy is going to win again
So we can we can bomb their formal government and leadership
But you are going to get terrorists and surgeon cells and they're just spreading all of those resources and weapons around like Crazy and create massive instability on less someone goes in and occupies it That seems to be the most probable outcome. The only problem with that is that we don't have a very good track record of doing that
“Of course, that's why everyone's concerned”
We don't have a very good track record We think that with our present but anybody like nobody has a good track record of doing that Yeah, well, I think a lot of these things aren't like each other, right? So we don't have to like each other for us to not know I understand but I'm saying we have a different information. No, I totally and you know and like not being able to figure out how we're supposed to lead them or get other people to lead them Either yeah, but I would say that's a thing. Look at Afghanistan Afghanistan is a disaster now
Yeah, I would say the geopolitical landscape has fundamentally shifted during Trump's tenure Look at the Abraham Accords look at UAE look at a lot of the allies that we have who are doing business with us And who are being helpful. I would say that the landscape is entirely different and these situations aren't like the other Libya to all the ones that you alluded to
are not the same as what we're dealing with now and we're dealing with a leader now a president who actually has the stones the fortitude to do the right thing What's the what's the right thing occupying a foreign country
I'm not suggesting that at all and I don't think that I'm just bombing administration but but again, is it then bombing the leadership Incessantly until they give up and stop appointing new leadership Well, I mean, that's essentially essentially what they did in Venezuela was they took Medura and they said okay, you're going to play ball with us now
But that and I know that they're not the same here's my other thing too We have seen Trump act in the economy we've seen him act in dozens of different ways And in the course of a year be more effective than any president in my lifetime Why wouldn't we trust him? Why wouldn't we trust Marco Rubio? Why wouldn't we trust the regime that we have in place? Who is because they're Even though on epivocally to be effective fill make this sort of point. They are the government
“And I think it's clear to help. There's not a question of”
Trump or Rubio it's a question of the effectiveness of regime change in general Which for the past 50 years we have seen order failure on We saw I mean we failed in Korea to a large degree we failed in Vietnam You know after the French failed. I'll give some credit to South Korea But we certainly haven't unified the Korea as and that's largely due to the conflict with China and China support for North Korea
There's all I mean, you know, there's all kinds. Oh, give them Japan and all of these we look real quick regime change in Japan after World War II we turned those samurai into like lady boy cat girls like is this man? No, not even not even salary men Getting drunk in the street. They don't have kids anymore and they they they they want and South Korea and Japan Both have an obsession with like American culture to it. No, I'll give you a panel a bit more than that. It is really awesome
Korea is pretty creepy. I got to be honest. I'm allowed to say that as a Korean
I've never been there have you been it's amazing. I love the place, but they get they all get plastic surgery
“It'll look like white people instead of just looking like Korean”
I get that like blero plastic they get like facial Koreans have like a round face as you can see I got a little around face they get their faces like shaved down and reshape to look more Like the European like Shizzled square jaw or like you know whatever they get eyelid surgery and it's it's because when you are occupied by
Americans who look a certain way and they control your culture and your development You look to the wealthy you look to the developed and you and you take those things on So again, Japan it like this is probably why they retained this ethos saying We are not going to look at Vietnam or Iraq or Afghanistan or Iraq again as it's not possible just that we got to try to try again
So I certainly would say that you know the way described it is that we have post-intervention stress disorder to the failures of the bush administrations
Interventions in the Middle East that doesn't mean it always fails
But I would say based the track record of our current infrastructure the probability of failure is likely high Syria being another really great example We are the Obama intervention in Syria resulted in expansion of ISIS and US weapons falling to the hands of psychopads who Like basically defied all of the norms we expected from these Muslim and sergeant groups It used to be that you know during like the Iraq or earlier Iraq war era
You get kidnapped as a journalist or contractor in some Middle Eastern country by Muslim there were I forgot what the word is but there was something you could you could invoke in Islam Where it require them to protect you until the conclusion of whatever as they kidnapped you for being a ransom or some political reason and An individual would be like, okay, I am basically Your captain and I have to make sure nobody harms you. ISIS did not care at all
ISIS was like we will literally chop off your head.
as as Nome Chomsky said to quote
“Bad guy in the arena of violence the most brutal guy wins and in reference to the life you said that's not us”
But the point is you have order in Iran We keep blowing up their leadership eventually you get brutal Islamic disorder and that has a very high likelihood of looking like ISIS Unless we get boots on the ground exactly like we didn't Syria and again even Syria wasn't quickly resolved I don't see a mathematical probability to having any kind of stability in the region if the if the anger is that Iran is Arming the Houthi rebels and Iraqi militia groups who are killing U.S. troops
Constantly flattening the leadership in Iran resulting in the IRGC just going rogue and forming Islamic factions is going to make that 10fold worse
The solution is then there need to be look I'll put it like this
You know fighter jets don't occupy street corners people do So you can bomb all day and night and they and the the factions there that believe what they believe and don't want to give up are going to adapt to it Until you get someone on the street corner with a gun you will not have control of the systems the the the economics be it disaster economics war economies
“If you want to put a stop you need a grid of people stopping them so I guess my question is”
Do we not think that the Trump administration has counted that cost? I mean they think they want to put put in the ground No, I don't think they've said that. I don't think of it. Of course. I think I said you know We have to keep all options on the table or whatever, but I mean my sense of things is you have No, go go you have Marco Rubio who has better foreign policy chops and anyone I know of he is great. I do have a very good administration
Who has proven themselves trustworthy in a million different ways and and and we don't have we don't have
I don't think it's meaningless. Well, we don't have access to the classified briefings. They have we don't have access to a lot of the intel that they have that made them make that decision and and I would argue that You can trust that guy very much so but it doesn't mean he's going to be good at baseball Yeah, but he's proven himself good at baseball one Recently in Venezuela for example. Yeah, so all the Democrats again right to his own and said we Is going to lead to this mass. This is going to embroil us in this mass of war in this map in nothing happened. I would actually argue that he has
Disproven this and that is by the 12 day war, which utterly failed in Iran and we were assured in no one certain terms The nuclear program had been had been wiped out and that was not true and this war is the continuation of the 12 day war So I love calling the the current strikes in Iran the 12 day war because now it's it's what the 365 plus 12 day war So the point is this we were told it was a surgical strike the bombs went in took it out They were satellite videos showing what looked like Iran shuffling their facet material out of this space and we were told they did not
It's not true. Don't worry about it now we're being told that when Trump goes to negotiate with Iran They said outright we have enough material for 11 bombs and that's where we're starting negotiation So again, I say I love the masculinity of Trump's response to looking in the eye and being like then I'm going to kill you and then he did Okay, not that the strikes are good, but it is like you need the balls that being said as much as I can be like I love the manliness of it It is fair to say we are not talking about a question of trust or capability
We're talking about a question of strategy and math and fighter jets don't occupy street corners If the goal is to remove their ability to fight, you can keep bombing them, but we saw what happened with Syria already So we can so again, I'm looking at a math problem Trump can be the best in the world at these math problems But if the solution still requires physical occupation my assumption is the United States fully
Expects their needs to be an occupation of Iran and they're going to pull off the same BS they did with Ukraine by saying U.S. troops aren't in Ukraine. It's a coalition of volunteers that we're paying so I would say that I think Trump is also looking at a math problem himself and I would say people will talk about him playing 40 chess five D chess all the time in 100 different ways early we alluded to China and and I think certainly
He has the bigger picture in mind. He is playing 40 chess. I think he's counted the cost I think he has done the mathematics, and I think they have what it takes to get this across the finish line I just agree isolated and surgical way. I disagree. I think
“They concluded the only way we get this done is by total regime change”
that we there's been a
I would describe it and I don't want to be careful with this, but there's bee...
the Iranian government
We've been getting just slammed by these stories of the killing of civilians and things like this
Which I would argue is probably largely true, but of course going to be exaggerated especially by Israel who wants the Iranian government removed I also have no problem saying the I told a was a very bad person and the Iranian government is
“Absolutely garbage and it is 100% moral to have removed them. I think that's true the issue”
However is it may be morally good that the Iranian government is not there anymore and was removed The question is is it going to create is going to be a period victory is the calculation Trump made that in order to Effectively end this government. You need people. I do not see based on history and everything we've seen thus far It is possible to engage in a full-scale operation of This size without people with a very easy example being Ukraine. They told us there are no U.S. troops in the ground
Well, there's special forces and just intelligence and
We are giving all of our weapons and telling them where to point them and where to shoot them and the people we're talking to are American veterans that are just privately Higher than paid by the US government. It's like we get it So I think it's very likely that Israel is going to have the bulk of the forces that go into Iran I think Trump is going to make some arguments about how there are no but no boots in the ground And then they're going to use they're going to whisper like but the volunteers are there and then what you do is instead of having the U.S. military
Formally you go to a bunch of PMCs and say calling the boys we're going to pay him a salary and we're going to send him in and we're going to have a hundred thousand boots in the ground On officially of course not the United States And I'm sorry just one more thing for that matter
I really do think there's a strong probability that Trump literally orders U.S. troops to go into Iran
I'm fine with PMCs a lot of these operators actually like what they do and yeah, like getting paid for it What I don't want to do is start at the meat grinder again and send in 10,000 boys who just face just finished basic
“I think that is my concern, but PMCs all for it. Yeah, I'm going to work”
I think when we we say boots on the ground the American people are thinking about big army stuff they're thinking about tanks They're thinking about large US forces. There's definitely CIA on the ground the organizations already admitted it. They're might end up being special forces green berets going into trying train the The YPG or the curative forces, but it's probably already there. You know what I mean like like we just we just blew up their palace and
Killed like all of their top government sure I get in tell through and and I'll put like this And it's not an American who went there. It's an Iranian who's operating for the U.S. government I will say I was just going to say You've rightly identified a power vacuum, but I think the response from a lot of Iranian people
being nothing short of jubilation
“Signifies I believe it. I believe it. I've you've seen videos”
Sure, and I've seen videos of people celebrating the attempted assassination on Trump and the solid side of the assassination of Charlie Kirk Sure, I know what I'm saying is there's certainly appetite there for some different form and mode of government beyond Islamism if China Launched a strike and blow up the White House They would be running videos all across China of American celebrating and they'd say see we liberate them Yeah, I just I've seen the response in both the U.S. and in Iran
The response in the U.S. is going to be obvious. These are people who fled Iran. Yeah, like it's absolutely and I believe They're on okay, and they're still I believe I think there are a lot of the folks in Iran by the way still have family Back in Iran or I'm gonna sorry a lot of the folks Iranian folks in the U.S. have family back I'm telling you there's appetite for a different regime a different and again The robustal is the same appetite exists nearly half the population in the United States
You know a Trump won 49.5% of the vote and Combo that got like 47 or something like this so again when you start seeing all of these mass protests I guarantee you I mean, this is true North Korea China Russia are rolling those videos at and they're made of being like the American people Hate their government and want it overthrown and Trump just killed two civilians Yeah, but again these things aren't alike like we have a foundation of government based on separation of powers based on
French philosophy based on enlightenment They have a structure of government that is based on Radical Islamic territory and the argument there is we all agree we are correct and We have a better form of government my point is to look at a video of any amount of people protesting and a term in that They the people have around support their government being toppled. I would say well a percentage of them probably do
Just like a large percentage of the people in the United States would celebrate Trump being killed all the same Yeah, but it's not a justification for why we go in and blow up their government. Yeah, but what I'm saying is
I do but real quick the framework of government they had there is much more f...
Here if if got for bid something happened to a president here
We have the framework in place to to replace sort of they They had there there's simply of experts and that's real bomb them. No, I don't think they had the same I didn't say they're the same they have their structure to replace their leader Which they've just now and I think that we are going to find out here in the near future their structure is much weaker and more fragile than I think That's obvious. Considering we're the United States
“Correct, and that's what I'm saying is like none of that”
They're morally justifies the US like to say that because a portion of a of a country's people don't like their government is not a justification of Executing their leader moral justification would be that they have Americans bloods blood on their hands a great moral justification would be they are racing to get nuclear arms A moral justification would be they adhere to a form of Islam that is eschatological apocalyptic wants to kill the West wants to kill the United States of America that is a vision of moral righteousness and they're acting on that moral rights and in which case
If one hundred percent of the population supported the government it would not change the morality of what we have done Sorry, I don't know one hundred percent of the Iranian people were in support of the Ayatola it would not change the morality of our actions and blowing them up Sure, yeah, that's why I point to whether or not any amount of people in around our four organs The government does not matter the question the question that I think is posed largely
Certainly there's going to be a bunch of leftists who are like it was wrong in a kill a leader in this way I'm like the Ayatola was a very very bad guy The the bigger issue is not military action against evil people the bigger question is is this a Period victory which results in mass deep stabilization in the region and results in more death more killing more rape and if our goal Ultimately is not now first and foremost, I get it. They can't have a nuclear bomb and they come to the
“Negotiating table claiming that they still have the material to do it and you know why I believe this?”
I know a lot of people are going to say you actually think they really said that you actually think Donald Trump would come out and admit He'd up when the 12 day what was supposed to wipe out their materials and it did not work I don't think Trump decided just arbitrarily going and mount this massive assault on Iran
No, I think the reality is the 12-day war failed and now the Trump administration has to admit
They failed and their assurances fate were were were were incorrect and now the only outcome was We're gonna have to take them out and start taking out their capabilities Why why would we make the assumption that it failed like because they literally said Iran came to the negotiating table with Trump saying we have enough nuclear material for 11 bombs After the 12-day war, we were assured by the Trump administration and Trump, they oh, they wiped out their nuclear capabilities
They did not Yeah, I mean, I think puffery happens in any sort of negotiating What if that's if if if we didn't fail two different questions if we didn't fail then why are we attacking Iran? They have a nuclear program anymore, right? What's the point if they're racing to Develop a nuclear program again?
Yeah, but they're they're going to be 20-30 years a while about making a war is about making a deal and he was trying to make a deal And they were filobustering him. They were all on our is your argument that the 12-day war was a excess We set their nuclear program back decades as we were told meaning they're going to be at least 20 years on the low end away from ever getting close to this And then because they wouldn't agree to it Trump decided to kill him all no my point is they were racing to Develop a nuclear program. Yeah, yeah, so we could have waited
You don't have to wait for somebody to punch you before you
“One-D years we could have waited to see how they start developing weapons. You have to imagine they are also interacting with China”
They're also interacting with all sorts of our enemies and they are I think the reintegrated sort of system and Obviously I said it earlier. I think he has China in mind. I think he has Russian. I think he has broader interests in mind That extend beyond Iran. I think the real issue I mean indeed, and I think the real issue was already laid out by Rubio when he said Israel was planning on staging attack against Iran And we knew this would result in strikes against the US personnel and
You know our bases and we didn't want to take a defensive posture so we decided to go in on the attack
Trump, of course, walked it back, but I don't buy it for a second. I think Rubio just had the quiet part loud
Israel has been begging for this war and the US and Trump was they were trying to avoid it when Israel said we're going in Rubio was like well, we have no choice and he was like if we did not join them and it resulted in strikes against US personnel we'd have more dead, and then we have to go to hearings to explain why we didn't react properly Yeah, right indeed we went to war not because of the nuclear program or whatever it may be It seems the most probable reason is because Israel is wanted to go to war with Iran for a long time and told the US
We will do it with her without you and the US response was we are going to get bombed like crazy
If Israel does this we better just stand alongside them and make sure we take...
Everybody is not one of Benghazi on his hand he's running for 28 probably the front runner if I had to guess
“I think my greater concern with all of this is not as much as going on in Iran”
It's it's what's going to happen state side how many sleepers cells are here how many attacks we're going to see because if the general Sentiment of the US population is we don't want a 20-year war if ever war Is it beyond the CIA to maybe orchestrate a handful of things to encourage people to be on board with a 20-year war with Iran? Yeah, let me let me let me pull up this story here. This is a We're going to pull up this from Fox news. We got this story Austin mass shooting time line traces suspects rap sheet as terror link probed
I don't know to pronounce this guy's name in Diyaga Diagny he killed two people outside of view for its backyard beer garden while wearing a property of a lost sweatshirt
Now my general understanding is is still believed to be Islamic terror largely motivated by our retaliation to the
Iran it's really hard to tell ways wearing a shirt that says property of a lot and he had to get a crown in his car Yeah, and again, I'm trying to be careful because I don't want to come out just be like it's true I don't care what they say like they're investigating it, but it seems the most plausible reason and the fear now is that we have Democrats not wanting to fund DHS at a time when we know there are people here legally and illegally who want to kill us We had the attack in DC on on on the Western international guard already
“We have this shooting and people you can watch the video that said you guys have you guys seen the footage of the shooting?”
I have seen some of it not there somebody it's it's it's it's it's it you know what man? There's a woman screaming something like why are you filming this and
With all the respect to the person who filmed I
I commend you for doing so because I know it's difficult with the the horrific sight you see the blood Coming out of these people as they're desperately performing CPR trying to keep them alive But people need to see it. I'm sorry don't let your kids see it. I get that people need to understand What these people are going and willing to do and so when you have a video showing these people laying on the ground Dying because Islamic terror is in this country and they want to kill and
Secretary Nome told me in an interview explicitly these people are here and we are concerned because we have to track them down And now the Democrats are saying well, we don't want to fund DHS because of it. We want to protect illegal immigrants that expect more of this and This has got everybody freaked out that I've been talking to because it could be anywhere and Austin downtown That's just yes, why they were all places a lot of people. The um, but this guy was a legal immigrant He came in legally under Clinton. He was naturalized to descend over under Obama and
Here is so does that give credence to the notion that we need to put a stop to legal immigration as well as if we needed more
“Yeah, yeah, I realize them. Yes, well they're talking. I think we can agree on they're talking about revetting all these afghan”
migrants all of them There's a a Benjamin a Carl Benjamin asked a really great question on acts It's a really simple way to put it he just said and a paraphrasing here But with the the Islamic migration into great Britain the question is how does it benefit the people of The United Kingdom in what way should they welcome these people in for what benefit do they get
Answer is none there isn't one and so if that's the case then why do it and so now if you have a country United States that has gone to war and wants to go to war Repeatedly with Islamic nations Probably a bad idea to invite militant ideologues into your country Yeah, I mean look that we talk about
You know cultures that are incompatible with hours and we should make sure that if we're going to allow people into the United States They need to be from cultures that actually mesh well with the United States like we shouldn't just be like anyone from around the world Can come here with no vetting or what have you if you can get to our shores will let you in We should have very strict requirements about who is and isn't let in. That's almost citizen that'd be a funny Like freedom tunes cartoon a guy comes in the country of right land and they're like tell me about your country
It's like in our country our entire national pastime in culture is just assay and then they're like, uh-huh Welcome in yeah, well the Republicans are like what that's just what happened in Afghanistan, right? I mean the Taliban legalized domestic violence and They legalized beating your wife and sexual Violence against children, but didn't they ban child marriage them with this they did?
Yeah, what happened was the Taliban said and so there's a practice of Like raping kids and tell me I was like you can't do that and so when the US went into remove the Taliban The people who were fighting against the Taliban were pro pedophilia and so US troops were ordered Not to report it because these were people fighting for us against them. Well, and now it's legal to sexually assault your children
Are you sure children? I know I know the wife felt like your wife is your I yeah I dug in the pressure the Taliban was like you can't you can't you can you can sexually assault your own children
Because it's a form of punishment
Yeah, yeah, I mean as of both both the Taliban and whatever the other factions were all bad
They're all bad, which is why they should be allowed into the United States like they should not be allowed We're looking at I in Iran too. I mean everybody's bad, right? And so once you wipe out everybody in Trump even said That they had wiped out the people who he thought would be You know good next leaders Now we have a situation where how many how many more people are they gonna wipe out before they find like
You know that guy who was waiting like the postal inspector. I mean the next and what ever the point You know what I mean the point isn't about like trying to find the good guy The point is to make the people understand look this is going to keep happening until you play ball with the United States And good good and every president since you know back to Obama and before had wanted to take out
Commanding like it you know it's
Something that everyone wanted to do and then just didn't have the capability up until now
“And that's I mean that's actually what and that's what happened in you know in Venezuela like they they”
Raptop Maduro and they told the the vice president look you need to play ball and I mean obviously the jury's still out on on how far that's gonna go How how How well they're gonna work with the United States and stuff But it all indications are that they're like okay, yeah, we'll go ahead and do this I I read a story about the vice president that we're not the vice president
But the the person that won the Nobel Peace Prize that she was supposed to be the president that the Maduro stole the election She was going back and they were gonna organize new elections. I think in the fall and I mean again If it works out then it seems like a method worth trying Not obviously like I said Iran is not the same place as Venezuela the culture is different
But if the if the Trump administration's goal is all right We're going to get you to the table and find someone that actually wants to work with us And we're going to use violence to do it. I mean it's it's not something that I'm exact that I that I can say that I endorse But it's better than having a 20-year quagmire. Yeah, and they just kind of mess around it They just decided that the um the crown prince what's his name? Palavi or whatever he's gonna be speaking at
See pack in Dallas in just a couple of weeks Yeah, you know, yeah, I think I think it's an effort to bring them to the negotiating table and say hey you've already found out Yeah, mess around and find out like if you don't Kind of the negotiating table and play ball We mean business. He's shown he means business and I think he's gonna get a lot of success out of this fall
I think the thing is unless you destroy the entire IRGC You're going to have this problem not only continue in Iran, but in the region I mean if it wasn't for the Iranian Revolution you wouldn't have the Spread of extremist Islam in the Middle East as it stands right now. Yeah, and I think that's part of the calculation If they if if they actually can get a rant to stop funding how my stop funding has well a stop giving
“Weapons and arms to the Houthis stop, you know, I think it's it was the Houthis that we're going after Saudi Arabia as well right?”
They were Saudi yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, so like if they can get that to stop I think the the region will look at this as a as an overall good thing and I again I don't know that it's gonna work. I'm not saying that I'm I'm for the the the attacks but at the same time If they can get those kind of behaviors to stop in the Iranian regime That's something that the whole Middle East is gonna say well, this is good because right now
The whole Middle East essentially is is against Iran. Yeah, everybody they all signed on to the Abraham Accords
You were looking at basically a Middle East that was moving towards a peaceful situation with with Israel
They were recognizing Israel It was looking like things were going to go the way that the West wants and the only stopping you know the stopping force was Iran If they can fix it if they can straighten that problem out by a use of force the whole Middle East is Because they will this is actually better than it was before yeah, and as I said at the outset Nobody's in favor of a forever war nobody's in favor of
Aggressive sort of gratuitous for an intervention But they've said it's gonna be a discrete four to five week operation and By the way that was said before the midterms So, you know, I think we take them out their word and just see how they perform Okay, just pull this map real quick and just talk about you know you got the straight-over moves right here
And here's Dubai and and look at this look at these goofy little Palm tree islands they built. Yeah, can't we just do more of that you know Like it's it's like a party everyone's having a good time You know people is they can't do more of that because of Iran
“That's what I'm saying. Yeah, this is my point. I'm like can't we just like can't Iran just stop”
Not get off so we can have these little sand islands to you know go swimming in well now they can Now they can not now not now, you know, but in due course hopefully that yeah, you know again I'm not I'm not in favor of of a ground invasion
I do think that it's a little early to be talking about ground invasion
We're on day what three of the actual air strikes and you haven't seen any kind of significant movement of troops or Logistics and you don't see a ground invasion you don't you're not going to see a soldier going into Iran
Unless there's a Burger King in a truck behind it like there's always a massive movement of troops there was a massive movement of troops
When signaling the invasion of Iran. I'm sorry I have a rack There was a massive movement of troops into afghanistan People will know if that's something that's actually starting to happen and it's it's probably a little early to actually be talking about it Well, do what do we think of what Trump said on his election night victory when he said
“I'm not going to start wars. I'm going to stop wars. I think we think that he right? I mean, but you think he started this war?”
No, I think a reasonable articulation would be it was preventative I mean, so it was a preventative It was starting a war in a preventative way. I'm just curious about how we hard one to stop on I'm curious Yeah, we I mean again, where of what Trump said about not starting wars with him right? Well, we also keep using the word war Again, I would probably articulate it more in terms of conflict in terms of I'm pretty sure when he's
I'll wrap up another country's leader or war's a term of art in war the the phrase matters as I said That's not I'm sorry when you blow up your another country's leader and then bombard their country and they fire back your at work So it's actually speaking that's not right. I'm going to beat you up in the school yard 3 p.m I'm going to get you so if I you find him at 10 o'clock in the morning in the bathroom taking a piss at the urinal Any kick him in the back of the head you get ahead of it is what you do. You don't wait for it
No, it's fair point. That's not a fight. Yeah, it's not. It's never happened. Yeah
Again, I I was a little back of the head. I was a little egg and I was a little egg and I'll tell you I got a finish And again, I was a little egg head at the outset when I was talking about article one article two but the declarations of war carry legal significance that authorizes additional action by would would you
Would you describe what's going on between Iran and United States as an armed conflict? I would call it a conflict. I would call it a hostility. I would call it an armory I's an armed conflict. Yeah, military operation that is the definition of war
I don't think it is it literally is in the Oxford dictionary war as a state of armed conflict between nations. Yeah, but
All of the food that were a biggest aircraft carrier over there. We moved like we kill. Yeah, it's like 40,000 I don't wait it. I understand I think I am Kind of putting on my attorney hat and there are a lot of legal terms of art that carry certain weight
“Indeed, and to the average person around the world the US started a war with Iran if you want to put it”
colloquially you can say that but I would say that it's a conflict. It's a hostility. It is a militant and the definition and the dictionary of what a war is is a state of armed conflict between nations. Yeah, I think it's protracted. I think as you stated, see the declaration of war Is it going to be like whoever's in power and needs to massage the truth? Will justify why man doesn't mean male means something else and then the like pro war side isn't
I don't know war is a legal term of art and this is just a Aggressive negotiation. Oh, listen, I think the beginning of wisdom is calling a thing by its proper name or I think boots on the ground This massive influx of troops that he was describing that is war. I think a protracted 10-year period of time the 30 years war. I think that's war I think cyber war doesn't exist. I think discrete attacks that are prophylactic in nature is not a war. So cyber war is it's an ill-felt in history cyber war is not a real thing
I'm not saying cyber war is not a real thing at all. I'm saying that I don't think that we can fairly Characterize this as a war. So the largest buildup of US naval forces in what 20 plus years or ever in the Gulf launching missiles and blowing up bases as well as their palace is
“not war. Again, I think we're getting into semantics. I think as a legal term of art. No, I would not call it war.”
I got I got a balance bro. Like do you really think anyone believes what you are saying or that you believe it? Yeah absolutely. No they don't. Again, I we are talking about two different realities. There's a colloquial way of describing war. Which is like there's a legal way of describing war. We're now the president can seize private companies and force them to operate the economy in a certain way. He can do blockades. So certain implications on maritime law? Well, just that is a totally different
reality and so I'm saying according to common parlance, would you agree that we're at war with a run? I would say we're in a conflict. I would say we're according to common parlance. Would you say we're at war with a run? No, I think it is a narrow decision. Literally no human being anywhere is going to agree with you. And you know it. Oh no, there's 434 people in Washington,
DC that agreed.
433. It goes back to the fight versus the punch thing versus the I think we delivered a formidable punch.
We can't call it war until we have proper time to invest. So look at the fight on the on the school ground. You and I square up we're throwing fist-to-cuffs. Mama jokes back and forth, et cetera.
“That is that is war. I think. So they're bombing our base. We're bombing there. There's”
this example seeing you in a urinal and punching you. That's a punch. It's not a fight. Okay, so if if I'm at a urinal and he punching me in the back of the head and I turn around and punch him in the gut, are we fighting? Well, espetra. Are we fighting? I wouldn't call that a fight unless there's a protracted brawl. Yeah, like so he punched me in the back of the head.
I bang my head on the urinal fall down. I get up and go, you son of a, I punch him in the face.
He falls down. He gets up kicks me in the nuts. Then I punch him in the stomach. Are we fighting yet? Look, are we fighting? I have to explain again. Trump has used the word war. Other people. Other people has used have used the word war. I think colloquially we were talking about your, your talking about war, whatever. But are you? But my mind cannot get out of the legal
“mentality and the legal implications of declaring war. And that's why I think it's an important”
distinction. And so what you're really saying is you can't say it. Not because it's not true, but because of legal ramifications against you. No, not legal ramifications against me.
Legal ramifications that attach to the executive, to Congress, to international law, to all sorts of
things that are. Trump started a war in calculus. Maybe it's a war with a silent Z. W. C. A. R. Resort. Yeah, it's not, it's not just casual history. I'm not trying to like evade the question. I think it's important to distinguish it at least from a legal perspective. I think if this last, I think if this last for several months, I would say you could fairly characterize it as such. I mean, look, I don't know. I mean, it's my, am I crazy? Maybe. No, you're just trying to get in the
Congress. Um, yes, you are crazy. Like, that seems totally insane for me. I don't think that I don't
“think there are very many people that would say that it's not a war. I do think it's fair to say”
what these are strikes, right? They're, they're, they're carrying out air strikes because that's technically what they're doing. Um, but yeah, I mean, people are going to, people are just going to like, look, it's a war, man. You know, let's, let's jump to the next story. We got big, big news. The results are starting to come in in Texas and, uh, Coran is beating Ken Paxton. Oh, wow. Yeah, I didn't start with surprise, isn't it? So right now we're looking at 42% reporting. So we will see
Coran, of course, he's got Dallas. He's got Houston. Austin is actually not, not reporting just yet. We'll see. I'm assuming it's going to go Coran. But, uh, you know, we'll see it could turn around. We've not got any declaration just yet on how it's going to play out. Jesman Crocket is getting crushed. She's down some 75, uh, 76,000 votes. She's down by about, uh, we're looking at eight points. Eight point three points so far. 39% reporting. I'm sure to go ahead and say this. I'm on her side
and she should, uh, should, along with the FCC sue CBS paramount and Steven Colbert because they violated FCC. Oh, more reporting just came in. They invited violated FCC regulation rules in order to give James Taylor Rico a major boost and they knew they were faking it. Colbert knew he was not prohibited from having on Taylor Rico's opponent, Jasmine Crocket and Amat Hassan. He knew this and he wanted to frame it as though Trump stopped him from having him on to make it seem like this guy
was the guaranteed front runner against the Republican and that Jasmine Crocket didn't exist as much as I don't like Jasmine Crocket and I do think Taylor Rico is better in a lot of ways. It doesn't matter. That was scumbag BS and Colbert is a scumbag who hoaxed people to cheat in an election. Yeah, but you know why he did it. It's because he didn't think Crocket could win because he thinks everyone in Texas is racist. The idea was because he's Alarico is a left-leaning
self-reported Christian and that you're, he's going to be able to, this, it's not just him. It's the demo. It's all about electability and it's this fake concept because as we've seen electability doesn't mean anything. People are like if they're constituents want them and that's really it. Colbert is a scumbag. Yes, that's like I like Amat Hassan get 10,000 votes in Texas because there's a hard work. There's a massive Muslim population. It's growing. They voted to
fund the building of a bunch of masks. And a whole town that they were calling, what was it like epic city or something? Because they got in trouble when it had an Islamic name, so they changed it. As of right now, Tony Gonzalez is beating Brenna Herrera with 4% reporting, so I'm not super worried
About it.
I'm sorry. I am going to laugh a hearty laugh after that whole scandal because his mistress
“set herself on fire. Oh man, and you don't say a celebration song is actually the”
Rupert's on fire. Wow. You're joking. I am joking. I can't tell sometimes because it's believable. I just want to say this whole Tony Gonzalez thing every one knew and it was kept under wraps by the Democrats and Republicans. So if there's another story, Tony Gonzalez reportedly had an affair with a staffer who was desperately in love with them and she was, I don't know that the full story was, but she was like, you know, if you leave me all, take my life or
something like this, douse herself in fuel or something and then accidentally emulated herself. But apparently the belt way of DC, they all knew it the whole time. Yeah. So this also happened you've all decalty. They've not released any of the details of the investigation is still ongoing. And it's just interesting. It was involved. You've all the, wow, unreal. They need a whole new police force there. Well, I'm going to say this. I'm going to say they quit the two officers who
“were, uh, perfect. Yeah, they got off. God. I'm going to, I'm going to, I'm going to, I'm going to just”
they got off. I want to stood outside being like, don't go rescue your own children as they're being butchered. Are they playing candy crush? They're on high score. The story of Tony Gonzalez is known by everyone in Congress. Everyone knows it. Everyone knows it. And for whatever reason, they are, they have been keeping their mouths shut. I think the Republicans, I, I, I very much just like their Republican party. And I want Brandon Herrera to win. But you know,
the Republican establishment definitely does not want Brandon Herrera. No, they, they want people they can control. And so my assumption is the Democrats were like, this is not the kind of play we want to make, which could also bring in a hard liner like Herrera, even the Democrats would have a Tony Gonzalez. And then their Republicans are like, we want a guy who's going to jump when we say jump. So everybody. Yeah. I was shocked when Trumpton Doris Gonzalez. And
from what I understand, Trump does not actually endorse people. It's a pay-to-play system.
The people in charge of doing the endorsements basically get back door deals. And then you
get a Trump endorsement. But I was shocked after all of this. I thought it was because he like
“values his endorsement and his reputation with the GOP voters. And that's why he didn't endorse.”
Yeah, I know. That's a, it's a little polyanaish for sure. But, um, and that was why he wasn't going to endorse in the GOP Senate primary. Yeah. Well, I mean, you think it's a little paid play? A little paid a play. I can, I can tell you. A little extra bit. It is. I mean, like last time Brandon lost by 400 votes. Or 100, you know, that's the district that had a turnout that typically does not turn out. I think it was over 90% turn out. They actually thought there's a whole thing
I won't get into it here. But, well, I mean, I, obviously, I can't see the future. But I would hope that considering he lost by 400 last time. And this time, his opponent is embroiled in a scandal.
That's pretty incredible. So guys, uh, call. She is call. She prediction markets calling it for
Tyler Rico already. Nice. So I, I, I don't, yeah, we, we only got 40% reporting. This is what's really interesting to see if they're going to be right about this. It's 99% according to, uh, call. She's prediction market. The Tyler Rico is going to win Jasmine Crocker's at less than 1%. And you were saying before like they eliminated her congressional seat. So she gone. Yeah, they got rid of that seat. It was the redistricting. It was the Texas resistricting,
redistricting, that caused the California redistricting, that caused the New York redistricting, that caused it to go to the Supreme Court and Nicole Malay Takahs gets to keep that GOPC. So if I, so I got here, the Texas 23 Republican nominee, and we can see Brandon Herrera at 93% weirdly, Tony Gonzalez at 16%. Those numbers don't add up. Um, that's, it's interesting how that sometimes happens. I don't know if the actual rules are why that's happening. But I'm,
I'm, I know a lot of people are going to get mad at me when I say this. And I'm not going to make a play or anything like that. But my point is, if you were going to make a bet on the establishment, you know what I mean? Like, do we actually have faith that their, that the machine would be fair to Brandon Herrera? That's the real question I'm bringing up. His, uh, his likelihood of winning just dropped to 85%. And Tony Gonzalez up to 18, which again, those numbers don't
add up. Matt, Matt, Matt, Matt. And, uh, whatever. I gotta say, I would, I would miss Jasmine Crocodone, the National State. She is going to watch. Can't go nowhere. She'll be on the view. Yeah, exactly. She'll be somewhere around. She'll be around. Yeah, love a podcast. Maybe she's talking like this again. Maybe she'll be Gavin Newsom's running mate. No, that would be fun. Maybe, maybe, maybe really quite the show. I don't know.
She'll lose it.
Yeah, like where was she? She could move to Jersey. I mean, maybe where's she originally from? Is she from Jersey? I thought she was from Texas. No, I don't think so. She not. Maybe, I don't know who wants to look it up. I mean, maybe she would, she would just do sure she'd cash out for a little while, make a little money, and then maybe make another run at it. Right a book? Yeah. Yeah. Make a book. Yeah. I can't imagine what Jasmine is. St. Louis,
she's from St. Louis, Missouri. Oh, there you go. Go back to Missouri. She could fight Cory Bush for that seat. Cory Bush has been trying to get back for a while now. God. I mean, astounding that Cory Bush was ever in Congress. You realize she, she could, she was part of a congressional hearing on Black maternal mortality, and she referred to herself as a birthing person. She was just an absolute imbecile. Yes. I just want to say real quick, there's a, you are, so right now, call
she has, there's no contracts available to, uh, to bet yes on Telereco to buy yes contracts. Jasmine
“crocket, there's a yes note, no, she will not get the nomination, not available. But if you want to”
bet she's going to win, and if you want to bet Telereco's going to lose, those are allowed. And we call those value bets, because a hundred bucks on no wins, you nine thousand, three hundred fifty one dollars. So that the idea there is a value bet, if you, again, you know, it's, it's, it's, it's buying contracts on futures, um, predictions, but this is like for a hundred bucks having a very,
very, very slim chance to win basically 10 G's, you know, there's a lot of people who take those
bets, and I think it's probably a bad idea. I'll be bad at the, uh, Jasmine, she going. Yeah, I don't. That's good. Not, not take a look at this. Tony Gonzalez into 35% to win, which is weird because Brenner Harris at 83%. And I think, I think the, the reason here is I want to clarify, it's, um, minor sentence. It's supposed to be internally among themselves. Basically, the whether or not Brenner Harris wins, yes and no, is Iris, it's, it's, it's, it's, in material
too, whether Tony Gonzalez wins, um, like basically the way the contracts work, all that really matters is what people think will Tony winner lose, not if Brandon is winning Tony is losing.
If you get what I mean, so it often will equal more than 100%. So basically, you have a lot of people
betting that they're guys going to win. Uh, it doesn't add up because Brenner Harris at 85, yes, in 24, no, which, you know, doesn't math. And Tony Gonzalez at, yes, 33 cents and no, 77. I will start this again. This is due to the fact it's the average cost of the contract, not the actual percentage that he's going to win. So again, let's, uh, oh, actually, where's the, uh, Texas 23rd, we got some updates. Here we go. Oh, wow. Big jump for Brenner Harris, 7% reporting, and it is nearly
“tied. Tony Gonzalez leading by 51 votes. Let's go, Brandon. Wait, does that mean what I mean?”
I don't think that means anything. No, no, we're taking it, we're turning it around now. Yeah, we're created. I'm pretty sure we're gonna let's go, Brandon. Yeah, it's okay. I'm going to tweet. Let's go Brandon. You know, you know, it's, you know, it's, you know, no, no, it's not reclaiming. It's, if you know, you know, right, it means both good and bad depending on the context. Yeah. Let's just put a picture of an AK 47 with that. Just an AK 47.
And then, uh, AK 4, like heck, yeah, her era or something like that. But yeah, I mean, I, I, I really do have my fingers crossed up running wins obviously. I know the guy and, and he's good to, but uh, the, the, the idea of, of Gonzalez winning after all that stuff came out about the, you know, cheating on his wife and the, the scandal with the poor woman that ended up killing yourself through it seems like it's accidentally, if, if he still gets elected, I mean, God,
I can't believe that he's got this much, this many votes. The fact that he's got, you know, 1800 votes with that track or those people have to be like completely and totally checked out. They don't know about the situation at all. Yeah, it's, it is already saying that there's been cheating in the election. Oh, for you, let's go. I'm, I'm totally on board. Let's, let's, let's do it. Yeah, let's go. I will, I am with you, Jasmine Cragut. Let's, let's cry fraud. You know,
“if you want to accuse Dominion, which was bought by a Republican, you know, I will stay out of it.”
Yeah. But I will cheat from the sidelines. No elections ever been stolen in the history of
election. Never. I don't believe that. No. I mean, North Korea, clean as a whistle.
Yeah, definitely not America. Definitely not America. Definitely not. Not once. So no, but to your point, it's kind of funny. Oh, really, it used to be this spot. And if someone had smoked weed or something, they were just toast for an election. And now, if this guy, with all the baggage in the world,
Since the DC mayor, I forget what his name was, the guy that was smoking Cragut.
there. Yeah. All right. Let's, let's pull up the clip, Cragut. Oh, it's crashing on us. I'm texting my wife right now to put $1,000 on Amazon. It's froze. Just texture. Let's go.
Well, I'll have to come back to that a second. Uh, as soon as it stops, it's freezing.
It's a probably. Yeah. Uh, in the meantime, Mary and Barry smoked Crag on Cragut, on camera,
“still one, on election. Um, we have, but what was, was the game Gillum?”
Andrew Gillies. Yeah. Yeah. Oh, I don't know. I think it was in a Crags all of this. That is when I was kind of, uh, no tell room or something like that. Almost the governor. A nice hotel. Oh, yeah. Wasn't there a picture of him, like, but naked like on the ground? Yes. It was. Yes. Like vomiting or something, male prosthetic actually called called it in. There are drugs, all of the ground pills. He's passed out, but naked. He's got vomit coming out of his mouth. Horrible picture. Uh,
just hand to speak to him, right? Better night than the picture apparently. Yeah. And if I recall,
it was close. All right. Here we go. We got it. Here we go. Let's, uh, let's roll, say we got Jasmine Crockett who, as of the recording of this episode, is losing. And so, of course, the real issue is it's stolen from us. All read has already stated. We encourage each and every one of you to remain resilient. We cannot allow this type of behavior to be rewarded because so long as they know that they can win, even if it means cheating, then they will continue to do it. So I am
asking you, I am begging you to make sure that you go ahead and figure out where it is that you are supposed to vote. Stand in line. Wait in line. They did cheat, though. And I stand with Jasmine Crockett on this issue. Stephen Colbert falsely accused Donald Trump of suppressing an interview with Jasmine Crockett, Audemocrats opponents, so that they could frame this as though Teleriko was the only competitor against the Republicans. When, in fact, the real issue was if Colbert interviewed
Teleriko, he needed to provide equal opportunity to Jasmine Crockett. However, instead of being honest, Colbert attacked Trump so that regular people would assume it was Democrat versus Republican. And that was the lie meant to prop up the Democrat, purporting to be a Christian, so that again, the idea here is Jasmine Crockett is not going to get enough middle-the-road people. And Teleriko could, so their knee-capping, Jasmine Crockett cheating, violating FCC rules, and then lying about
an hoaxing smears against Trump so they could steal this election. I actually think your voter base needs under two hours to come voting because they're typically not on time. Wow, it's progressives in Texas. Let me, where's the race? Yeah, Texas Democrat, where's it at? Here we go. She's currently
“down 7.3, I believe, is that 7.7? 7.7? My goodness, math is way, way round. No, 7.7.”
Teleriko is up 522,000 with 42% reporting against Jasmine Crockett's 447,000. For the Republican primary, Ken Paxton is down 3 points, but he is improving. With 47% reporting, we don't know exactly. Let me, let me pull the prediction marker market on this one. Texas, Republican, primary, and see if we can get the turnout. No, I don't care about that one. San Antonio and Austin can put Brandon over there. Here we go.
Uh, Paxton is actually the favorite to beat Kornin, which would be massive. Please. Yeah, please. Well, Korn wants to do Amnesty, doesn't he? Yeah, that's good. Oh, I'm about doing an Amnesty bill. I mean, he was talking about doing Amnesty for DACA, but Trump has also said that he wants to make a deal on DACA. So, um, you know, I'm comfortable with deals on DACA, or you know, I mean, if if if if if a kid's grown up
here, since they were one, because their parents are criminals. Nope. We've already done Amnesty, what four times already? I'm not crazy about the, I'm not crazy about the Amnesty, either specifically four adults. Every single time we do Amnesty, they go this will be the last time, and then they do it again. They do it again. So, sorry. I'm just, I'm, I'm done with it.
Don't murder the other day saying 11 million. Yeah. Let me, let me, let me, let me ask you this.
A guy steals $10,000 cash, and then gives it to his son, and then dies. Does his son get to keep the money? No. Not his fault. He's, he's had the money for a long time. It was given to him by his dad. Mm-hmm. The original owner said, I want my money back. Should we just be like, well, we can't. He was a little kid when he got the money. It's even where the money came from. And, and look, you know, it's, it's, it's been sitting as a count. He's been using it here and there.
“He's, he's been, making plans based on having that money. He should keep it, right?”
Do you think that sending, sending the DACA people back would, um, discourage illegal immigrants?
Oh, yes.
stupidly. And how many years have they had to actually do the paperwork and get the jobs done?
Well, the, the thing with DACA is, if you, once you registered for DACA under the Obama era, you weren't eligible? No, that was like what you could do, and it was like that was your limit. And so there was no legal status. Okay, so question for registering. If you, if you are a 30-year-old
“DACA recipient, are you not allowed to apply for residency? Yeah, there's like, I believe there's”
limits on what you can do once you've been registered as DACA. And sort of just like waiting around. Then I would say, uh, you, but it's only, but it's only the, the people who are eligible for DACA are only the people who were qualified for it under that Obama administration. I, I, I don't understand the argument where it's like someone broke into my house with a baby. And now I'm forced to adopt
the baby. I just don't, it literally makes no sense. You can be like, I'm not going to kick you out.
The baby, personally. No, I'd call, I'd call health services and say, I have no obligation to this criminal who broke into my house with the baby. Sure. And, and, you know, we're going to drop the baby off in a fire department. Yeah, I probably wouldn't do that. But anyway, that's, you know, that's my own thing. But so, I mean, what do you, so if you think that it really would prohibit future liberation, inhibit prevent, make it not happen? Well, not prevent an inhibited different words.
I discourage. Yeah, discourage. Parents are going to be like, it should be known if you illegally enter this country with the intent to violate our laws and effectively spin in the face of our people in our nation with your child. You are not giving your child the better life.
In fact, you are going to cause tremendous suffering to them. So, what do you do with all of the
people who got birthright citizenship and then they grew up, you know, in China, for example.
“Terminated it. So, just say, no more birthright citizenship. But what, what if?”
I'm willing to negotiate on that where it's like your parents are Canadian and they live your part time and you were born here. So, you're saying, it's not going to be like the birth tourism stuff. Gone in two seconds. So, what do you think the court's going to rule on that? I actually would not be surprised if there is a, the ruling, it depends on if they go broader narrow, if they go narrow, then it might just be like a thing to go narrow.
Yeah, I think they're going to go narrow. I think Thomas Alito and Kavanaugh are probably going to be a bit more based with Thomas Alito, of course, being perfectly based and the rest are going to be as the least-based possible. ACB is automatically based. Yeah, so do my word. I do think there is Kagan. Yeah, I do think there's space. I'm not a biologist. What's going on? It's a sort of my word. Oh, you're talking about Catani Brown Jackson. Yeah. Good lord.
I just know her. It's not a biologist. Yeah. There's a Supreme Court case called Wong Kim Mark that they're in part designing in this case. That's the original from the agency. Exactly. Yeah. And I think there's a way that even under Wong Kim Mark, you could say that the way Trump has gotten rid of birthright citizenship is lawful and you could, they could read it narrowly. There's actually a good law of your article about this from one of my former counsels.
It would be unlikely to be grandfathered in. That would be unlikely. I mean, if somebody, if somebody was, let's say somebody was born in California to Chinese mom who came to the US simply to have the baby and then have the child have American citizenship grows up in China the whole time. And let's say that was in 2013. Even if Trump eliminates birthright citizenship, that doesn't do anything for that. It should.
Those cases. Well, yeah. It's like also. How it would it? How it would it? It wouldn't even grant it. If they, if they rule, if they rule, if they rule brought it will. It's whether they're subject to the jurisdiction there. That's the language from the council. No, I disagree with that. I think the obvious goal with the, with the 14th Amendment is to say the people that were born here, like we're concluding this of a war, all these slaves.
They were born here. Their citizens too. And then the far left is like, and this means anyone at any point born here, even if they're the reason why they said subject to the jurisdiction of the United States is that the slaves in the United States were subjects of the US government. That jurisdiction. Yeah, exactly. And if you come into the United States, you have what's colloquially referred to as an anchor baby. I don't think you are subject to the jurisdiction there.
No, so yeah. No, we actually have treaties with other countries as to your status. And everybody that makes remarks about, oh, well, you know, they're like, well, you know,
“that's what the Constitution that said. And I understand the, when you read it of a debate,”
I understand that. But at the same time, this was written before there was all these generous social programs. So like it used to be where if you come to the US and you become a citizen, it was just like, all right, good luck. But now it's like you come to the US, get so scared.
You get all these all sorts of benefits.
literally just 10 votes. Brandon Herrera is trailing Tonya's house by just 10, 10 votes. So with a 4,509 votes currently in every time we get into update, Tonya's house drops further. I believe in the next update, it will flip that being said, still only 7% of the votes are currently in. So let's just, um, to avoid a runoff he needs singers crumbs. What? To avoid a runoff he needs
“what 60%. Is that how it works? It asks you within a certain amount of votes. That's why”
well, look, Keith Barton and Francesco can say, oh, are so low. I don't think it's going to matter. What if he just ends up flipping entirely than, you know, 40,000 votes come in and it's like 80% Brenner Herrera. Why just put a $1,000 on Brandon? Did she really? Oh, there you go, Brandon. On, on Colshy. Yeah. But like you, you don't win that much. I know. $1,000. That's the show. Well, Pennybags, you'll win 270 bucks. That's fine. Pay for my meal. Just your meal. That's my meal.
How do you mean your wife's? All it doesn't do when you used to do. We'll bring some home. Yeah, there was some controversy on Colshy over the death of committee because there was a wager. Will he be out of power before? And that's like April 1st. It was like March 1st, April 1st, September and he died. You know. And so a lot of people were like that counts. And Colshy said,
we have never had wagers on death. It's always removed from office. But here's the, here's the
problem I suppose is that that guy's, it should have been 99% zero. Like never going to happen.
“He's the Supreme leader. He's never going to be removed from office. The only way he exits office”
is after his body exits reality. And so I think a lot of people made the assumption because on polymarket, it is. If you're dead, that counts. And so Colshy, no, no, no, if they're dead, they stop it where it is. And then do a fair market value. Pay out. So, you know, yeah, I mean, we'll see how it goes. I do think that Brandon's going to pull it out. It's just, just maybe just my hope, speaking, but, you know, I, I have full confidence here in a really good campaign.
He was knocking doors. I mean, he's doing everything's supposed to do. Yeah. Yeah. I saw him out. And, and how, too. And Tony Gonzalez was embroiled in a huge scandal at broke right before, you know, this primary. So, he got multiple Congresspeople conference resigned. Really? Wow. And that's why they assume right here is going to win. I mean, it's going to be epic.
Yeah. If he wins, I hope the first thing he does is he just like goes to Thomas Massey,
and they both have a bill together, corresponds to that's like the NFA is here by repealed effective, you know, April 1st, wouldn't it? I was torn about him running because if he does win, I was worried about range day going away. He has arranged every year that gets to altitude when I was like, Brandon, he's still going to do it. Just going to be a congressman. It's going to be what? It's going to be a congressman, I'm not there instead. Yeah, range day with range date,
outside of D.C., maybe you'll do it in late Virginia or something. No, it was Vegas last time. Went to Scott Arrange. Oh, my god. What a beautiful range. Awesome. Yeah, I haven't had chance to make it out of any of the range days. The last one, just this past year, was like right when my kid was going to be born. So I'm like, we had Tony moon out there. rooftop Korean. Oh, yeah. I'm taking shots from a rooftop down range. It was was so much fun.
That's great. He's a good dude. I follow him. Oh, man. I bought his kids out. What? You bought his two kids out? Did he really? That's good stuff. Good dad. You wrote a book recently. He did. He did get a book by his book, everyone.
“Yeah, you should buy some. Can you get us the results faster here? Come on.”
No, they're not going to get us the results faster. Corn in is still up by 3.1 points, but Ken Paxon is slowly closing in. Austin's not reporting yet. That's going to be interesting. It's going to go corn and have you.
Yeah, I think that'll go corn and out. Just because the make up of Austin 1.1 million votes are
already being tricked. Anna Bender 11,462 votes. Wesley Hanna 144,000. I was wonder how it is like lesser known candidates. I don't know who these people are. Wesley Hanna. I know Wesley Hanna, but Anna Bender, I don't know. It's their backyard. It's it's probably stayed their backyard. It's just campaign when they're like a little good 50 mile radius. Oh, Jasmine crack at she getting crushed. It's getting worse. Yeah. She's almost she's down almost 100,000 votes.
That's racist. No, of course it is. Yeah, yeah, but it's clearly got this. Ain't nobody voting against him. Yeah, he's extremely popular in Texas, so. Gina Hina Yosa is dominating the Democrat governor primary race. It's how hurt of her. I don't know. New news. Lieutenant governor, you got Dan Patrick. No one kind of the Democrat. For the attorney general, Mais Milton, this will be interesting because Ken Paxton's out. Yeah. So it looks like
it's going to be Mais Middleton. A lot of people were voting for Chip Roy. Well, the fence about
Him.
not to say that he's a good member of Congress, but he's one of the better members. You know, most of the Republican. And Crenshaw is losing. Yeah. He's going to lose. He's going to lose the seat. He's going to lose his seat. Check us out. Yep. 58% reporting and he's down almost 20 points. Yep. Wow. That's such a bummer man. When he got in, we were so excited. And then it's kind of a
“disappointment. Yeah. So very much so. Just he was like, what do you snap at that little girl?”
Or whatever that thing was and like, man, he got made fun of by what's his face on SNL? That was pretty bad. Yeah. And then he just kind of was a dick. And we invited him on the show and he canceled on his twice. I think. Yeah. That's right. Yeah. That's rude. Some bitch. And I like we weren't even like going to be, it wasn't going to be completely full of filled with acrimony. Like it was going to be some probably, you know, a little acrimony. A little bit like
a little debate, a little pushback. But we're not. We, you know, we were not the hardcore anti-dencranshaw people. But you know what, maybe Steve Tauth is the guy. You know, I use acrimony in my first interview in the Panhandle, which it's a good word. It's a good word, but it just doesn't play a great
in the Panhandle. Of course not. See, I'm never going to run for office because I like to use
big words and stuff. Y'all mean, my dad was going to be proud of the Pensacola over there. Quite awful. Yeah. It's kind of a pretentious word. I could have used, you know, I don't know, foamant violence or animosity, yeah, animosity or something. Acrimony, have a campaign website.
“I do. You should announce that too. Roger, Florida.com. That's the one. That's the one.”
Yeah. Just Roger, so many. I mean, this is pretty crazy because he's getting smashed. A damn crunch. 58% in and he's getting smashed. You must be feeling pretty bad about now. Who were doing crancho looking for a little backup. Wow. Maybe if he would come on shows like this and actually defend himself and then he got into it with Sean Ryan. Wasn't exactly that happened? Yeah. You should beef up his LinkedIn. I'm tweeting. Oh, no.
I don't even have a LinkedIn. Oh, no. Yeah. The back and forth was Sean Ryan. I had a LinkedIn and every time I've tried to use it, I end up not knowing the password and it gets all screwed up. And so I have to make a new one just to like see whatever the thing is. I love this. Whatever the like trans activist professor at Oregon state that I'm looking at while we're waiting on the results. I got to play this clip for you guys. Are there measures being taken not to
eliminate other possible alternatives to leadership? This is worth and we're taking out the threat. And if you're part of the threat, then you have the ear tartar. There you go. There was said by Zetter. This is war and we're not going to dwell on the last 50 seconds of this video. Now I'm just kidding. Let's let's listen to the rest. It's funny. We call it not all the arrows, but going after the archers. You can see this one. We have declared war. They declare war on
the last one. There we go. We haven't declared this one. They called it war. What I was saying and I was like, okay, well, that was a misspoke, but I was saying that they declared war.
But what is ugly? It always has been ugly. But we're you know, we're taking out a regime
so this is why people hate Congress. We have declared war. We haven't declared war. I don't see that. The president asked us to declare war yet, but they have declared war on us. We're just simply fighting the threat that's been at our door for 40 seconds. He's really at our door. There you go. It's not really at our door. No. Yeah, it's pretty close.
“Is there anybody else running that we all green? He's winning, right?”
It's all greens, really. Yeah. He's awful. He's just terrible. Tony just jumped up by another. Oh, he may he jumped. Yeah. Tony. Wait, I'm not seeing that in New York Times. What's your what's your NBC news? NBC news. So Tony just took a lead from Brandon. No. He's up 12,754. Brandon's at 11,068 with 46.2. Now, we're just going to look at this one. We're just going to look at this one. What are you doing? It makes me feel better. Green is down. That would be nice. I'd like to see green
news. Did I just pull. Oh, here. I got a 48% in. He's at 43%. Oh, my, this is an amazing 49%.
Who is Christian? Manifia. I hope he's worse. Is it possible to be worse? I got to be honest. Like these guys might actually be a lot better. I would love moderate lips. Yeah, moderate lips is what we're looking for. I mean, I do think that the Democrats have really done the American people a disservice by offering zero viable candidates. Oh, this is so awesome. Well, the internal polling with the Democrats is that Democratic parties losing to their own Democratic
parties. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, the far left has really taken over that thing. Yeah. Get, you know, that's how we end up with Mom Donnie and AOC. So I'll tweet the other day that said that the most
Of the Democrats have done something like 55 or 60% want more progressive pol...
I mean, there was a story out of Axios the other day. Yeah, Krencha, Krencha, it looks like Krencha
“lost. He's, they called it. Why aren't they giving this up date on Tony and Zell's here at the”
New York Times? But anyway, a lot of Democrats are looking for AOC to be the air to Bernie Sanders and run in 2028. And that's like a Democrat thing. They want her. So we got NBC news. I think she could win. But I thought I thought, I thought Crockett could win too. Oh, Brandon just got knocked way down. I mean, that's not looking good. Yeah. He's down six points. That is significant. Is there a map up? The, the maps that we have. No. Yeah. The two something to win map doesn't include all the
individual little houses. Oh, it does. It does. It does. Okay. Let's find 23 there. There's no map though. That my buddy's running in 32 right there. Jayce, but he's, I think he's clenched it. Oh, yeah. He's crushed it, bro. Yeah. 70% and he's got 51%. Let's go. Jayce. He's a stud. That's go. Tony Gonzalez. Can you believe it if he wins? I 60% ever. You might lose a thousand dollars. That's this money. That's absolute. That's so disheartening. I mean, I'm not trying to look at that.
“I would make all she markets got him at 62%. And again, that's why I was saying like, I don't want”
to be a dick, but with the machine state ever allow someone as based as Brandon Hurrah. Like I said, considering he was within 400 points. I mean, 400 for the last time. And to think he could, you know, not sometimes not up to when Gonzalez has this, this terrible, you know, scandal that's going on. I make sure it makes you get a little bit blackpilled. You're just like, you know, Crenshaw's gone. How on earth does that happen?
All right. Let's see. All turning. Let's see if we got an update on the Crenshaw. Crenshaw's cooked. Yeah. 57%. And he's done. Yeah. He's down 20 really 20 points. This is kind of interesting though, looking at the midterms going forward. You see a lot of these people who held off us for a long time getting ousted in the primary. That might be a good indicator that people are watching what's going on. Yeah. And a lot of the issues I love against is they they fall
asleep during the midterms. But if we're seeing people get their seats flip like Crenshaw, that's that is a significant indicator that maybe midterms won't look like what a lot of people are predicting. Isn't it kind of wild that Algreen did as well as he did? What was that? Oh, Algreen just got a big jump. Oh, didn't he? Yeah. He's down by only five point seven. I'm saying, isn't it crazy? He's done as well as he did. Yeah. He's such a clown. I mean, he's crazy. There's so
much like incumbents have such an advantage in in Congress and stuff because the people that
know who's running. Most people can't even identify their own Congress person never mind.
You know, actually go out be bothered to go out and vote from. So people in Congress that are in Congress, they have such an advantage and it's a shame because there's so many people in Congress that need to be primary and removed and stuff. I mean, it seems like the only kind of the only kind of silver lining is it looks like Crenshaw's not going to be another guy. But it is a drag. They've called it for K rabble with 0% reporting running unopposed. Hey, I don't know if
that's good or bad, but congratulations, Democrat. You'll Kyle because he's in Tom Sells district, just said who is this? Yeah. He's got that hat on the 10 gallon hats. You know, he's a real Texan, even though except he's a Democrat. Yeah. Yeah. Real tell they get what they call it. Oh boy, who's into castration. K self, you know, hey, Keith self. The incumbent has defeated Mark Nugent. I don't know if it's good or bad. It doesn't even have a picture up there. Let's see what
he got. Self is a weird last name. It's kind of, you know what else is weird last name is person.
Person. I've never met a person whose last name is person. I really, I've seen it out there.
If my last name was person, I didn't make it guy. Guy. People would be like, that's not a real name. Like, my parents hate me. Do. Like North West. Everybody was like 10, we should name your Senator Jean either way. It works. Yeah. You know, G or J. And then I was like, because I hate my child. Yeah, don't hate your child. What if it's a boy named Sess? That's terrible. Yeah. Sess. Sess person. No. Sess pool. Oh, says pool. Oh. Sess person.
Jean person. Jean pool. Yeah. The things that people do. I've met, yeah, I've even noticed
“there's a weird correlation between people, people's jobs and their names. Really? Like what?”
You, this is, I forgot what the fireman has called, but let me, let me, let me pull up some examples of it. I think I used to do it, right? I think one of the best examples is Chris Moneymaker. Mm-hmm. Yeah. What do you think he does? Makes money. I think he's a bank. He's one of the most famous popular best. Doyle Bronson, Chris Moneymaker. These guys are money makers. One of the most famous
Poker pros.
which is a small cheap, like amateur thing where you're trying to win a seat to the actual tournament, and then he won the tournament, and it created this boom where it was like, you could be a regular
guy and win $3 million. Yeah. And his name is Moneymaker. Love to see it. Yeah.
“We just went with a traditional, you should be able to name. He should be one of the,”
one of the guys that works at the Federal Reserve. I know, right? Moneymaker. He would make sense, you know. You've still got multiple districts not voting in, really? It's like multiple zero votes in yet. There's smaller counties. It's called an aptrenim. Yeah. When somebody coincidentally has a job, who's saying bolt? Oh, yeah. He's the fastest printer. There's a meteorologist named Amy Freeze,
and another named Sarah Blizzard. There's a, there's good. There's numerous Dr. Butts who are partologists. I know a Dr. Butts. Why? For the love of all that is holy. Would you have the
last name butts and be like, I'm a better part of all just. Yeah. It's just your calling. You're like,
I have to do it. You're the ass man. The movie was the, uh, was the license plate asked man. It was
“signed felt. The crime or the longevity license plates. So there's a concept that's just leaned into.”
There's a concept called nominative determinism, which is hypothesis that people will gravitate towards careers that fit their names. Um, and the general idea is, it's like if you will, it there's a way or the inverse of out of sight out of mind, when you're whole life, you keep hearing that word or, you know, you gravitate toward those things. I will say at the same time, many people's last names are literally just based on the job they had. Yeah. You know, like Chandler
or the son of the person. Right. Right. Smiths. Do you know? And where you're from? Well, that's like it. Somebody who is a Smith. Like your last name is where you're from? Mm-hmm. John of Barcelona, you know, something like that. Yeah. That's the, that's the, uh, in the Middle East, a lot of people like if you're like Al-Qaeda, it's from Kuwait or whatever. There's also, if people don't know this, uh, Berg means Hill in German. Means Hill? Yeah. I'm pretty sure. I don't speak German, but
you know, there's a lot of places called Berg. Mm-hmm. And people now associate Berg with city, but it referenced, you know, like John's Hill. Yeah. Yeah. The names in my, and my family, like on the Norwegian and the Yankee side, they're all pretty traceable to like the thing that it was, you know, like Berg is resident of this valley. Berg and the son of my name is primarily of German Dutch and Jewish origin and it means castle or fortress. Berg in German and Swedish means Hill or Mountain.
“I can't remember who first and renamed it. That's kind of, what? Yeah.”
Walker who first and renamed it. Berg is known. Berg is now castle. Yeah. Yes. Oh, no. Tony Gonzalez took another big jump. Ruff. Oh, no. Crazy that people would vote for that guy. Yeah. So if I, if I bet against Brandon right now, what's his name? One G, when's the two G, you know, he was like, let's kill kids. Yeah. So that their parents learned lessons about gun control. I can't do it. Oh, God. Not good. I can't do it. We're still
going to bet 999 999. I'm running here at a win. If I wager $1 million, I will win back $9,000.
No, it says you can only wager 8 grand. Totally worth it. Come on, the big money. I mean, call she's still given him the odds to win, which is pretty amazing. Although he's did, he's dropped substantially brutal. So someone just sent me a message saying that Texas primaries need more than 50% to avoid a runoff. So he may go to a runoff. Yeah. If he doesn't get over 50%. Yeah. But as he going to win Keith Barton in Francisco, maybe. I mean, the, the challengeers to Gonzalez have more
reason to vote her era. Well, in Baxter County, which one of the largest ones Barton's got 1500 votes. Well, Gonzalez has 8600 and her era has 7600. That's a significant portion. So that's 8%. Yeah. And the largest county. So wrench up cooked. What do we got? Al Green. He's, he's close. He's close. We'll see. Maybe he's going to turn it back around since 70% reporting. All right. We're going to go to your super chats and rumble rants as we watch these, these numbers. Smash that
like button share the show with everyone in your life. Tell them you love them. Before we do my friends, I got a great sponsor. It is shop beam dot com. Go to shop. Be a m dot com slash Tim pool pick up your beam dream. Night time blend support better sleep. I drink this every single night. I was very happy to be drinking this while I was subdued by convalescence. Consult your local dictionary. It was it's delicious. I'm a huge fan. It's got magnesium, alphenine. It's got ratio it. It's got melatonin,
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“But they're going to tell you very much similar like you need to get that legit sleep. So that”
your body can get that you know you want your testosterone. If you don't want to be a low T guy, you know, nobody does. So we should lift and I recommend being dream not saying it won't prove your testosterone, but you want to get through this leap. Thanks for sponsoring the show. Let's go to your rumble rants and super chats, of course, and see what you all have to say. Super pooper says everyone here is beyond annoying with pleasure. He says to how with your
speculation or unless you have the intel that Trump does, STFU Alex Jones already proved to me, he isn't worth listening to, so have many others. I don't actually know what your argument is. He's a plan, trust or, and he doesn't approve people don't trust the plan. Trust the government. Trust the government to everyone. All the ways, trust the government. I know my thesis. He's arming the curse, or however you spell their Star Wars name.
So you can just calm the hell down. Has there ever, uh, Olivia, I have a question for you. Has there ever just at any point in U.S. history, uh, been a problem caused by the U.S. arming the enemy faction
of a enemy of ours? That's never happened in one time. Never in Latin America, or the Middle East,
the Middle East, or Southeast in Europe, but to be literally every time it's backfire to every single time. To be fair, the curse aren't really as far as I can, as far as I can tell the curse aren't enemies, like we actually helped them out. Never happened to not say either. The Musia Hadine weren't our enemies. We helped them out, the point that I make, and they blocked the world right now that I'm making is like the curds were, are pretty pro-America,
“because of the, I believe it was the first Gulf War, uh, when Saddam Hussein was gassing them and,”
and they're pro-America because it's convenient right now. Indeed. And it's been convenient for a while, and the CIA has been arming them. They are also communist too, so. Well, and they don't they also team up with Antifa, isn't that like part of real? I don't know. Well, they're communist, so maybe. Yeah. Well, I've got some friends that actually did that work with them during the Iraq, and some people about it just today. The better argument I'd say is this,
Joshua French says Iran is not a new war. We've been at war with them for 47 years. How many
Americans died because of Iran? See, I actually, we've always been at war with East Asia.
No, but I think it's fair to say that Iran has been, uh, as a, as a regional power, they wage the war they're capable of waging in the region, and they have been bombing and killing Americans and our allies in the region for some time. And this is, this is Trump being like, yeah, I'm done with it. I mean, they were, they were responsible for a lot of the roadside bombs and stuff like that during the Iraq war. So yeah, mythos says Libby. We won in Vietnam. They signed a peace treaty
that they only broke three years after we pulled out. We were within 30 miles of the Chinese border in Korea before China got involved. Indeed, that's true. We basically won. Then China was like, eh, we're going to fund the other side. And then just sent wave after wave of their own men against our limit. It kind of means we didn't, we didn't really win. Indeed. Yeah. And Russia's using North Koreans right now, aren't they, to fight in Ukraine? We call it the
Zep-Branigan strategy, where you send wave after wave of your own men to just die until you overwhelm the opponent. You can do that if you're a place like Russia or China because you have that many guys. Indeed. And the funny thing is, it actually is Russia's strategy famously in like World War II. They were just like mass-produced garbage weapons and sent as many people just how wipe them out, Zerg. We call it. But the funny thing is, in future Ramah Zep-Branigan, famously
defeated the kill bots. And he said he discovered their weakness. They had a preset kill limit. So he sent wave after wave of his own men to die until they hit their kill limit and stopped. And so that's basically the Russia and China's strategy. Yeah. It's very effective. That's not
“really the American strategy. It's interesting because I think if we're going to do global conflicts”
and we're going to like go in places and do all this stuff and take over places and cube us next and whatever else, then it does make me a lot more in favor of autonomous weapons than I previously have been because it would reduce the, it would reduce American deaths. And like I'm all in for reducing American deaths. I mean, like it's honest with having to stuff like that, those are coming whether we, whether people are comfortable with them. Sure. I want to, you know, I want to
just not stop me from philosophizing about it myself. I want to, I want to stress this from Brace.
He says Obama dropped bombs on Libya, Yemen, Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and ...
then, simple answered police as a school with it. Simple answers. Yes. However, challenges, they
didn't fight back. We were just bombing their countries and they just did largely nothing.
“Iraq, yes, we were at war. Afghanistan, yeah, we were at war. Libya, how we were at war?”
And look at the state of Libya now, we just haven't followed through. Yemen and Pakistan are the only ones where we can question because Yemen and Pakistan did not engage in armed conflict with us. So there was no between nations. So that being said, I would agree. It's not a fight if I punch in the back of the head and you fall down. It was an ambush. It was a strike. No fight ensued. No one struck back. So when we were bombing civilian targets in Yemen and Yemen was largely just like
hiding, like as a government, yeah, I think it's fair to say that we were bombing countries we were not at war with. Same thing is true for Pakistan. After the rest of the countries, we were literally at war with them. Don't it? We came. We saw he died. Yeah. Don't we think that the United States since World War II has been subject to foreign policy loss after foreign policy loss and that Trump has given us the first sort of strength and the
first foreign policy victory. No, I disagree. I do think that he's given us some of the, I wouldn't say, loss after loss or, or I didn't, and anyway, any kind of weakness, I would argue that Trump has, with like the Abraham Accords, for instance, hit a grand slam and Jared Kushner credit as well.
That it's, it's, it's amazing. His timeline for withdrawn Afghanistan was, was, was great,
getting our troops out of Syria, absolutely fantastic. Syria, do your thing. I guess Obama was a nightmare. Obama and Bush were just horrible. Now, I wouldn't call him weak because boy, they blow up civilians. Whoa, whoa, boy. I loved it. Yeah. I'm, I, I, I have no problem saying
“I think Trump has, like, been substantially better than all the other presidents. I've”
routinely referred to him as one of our first net positive presidents. I was talking to this guy back in his first term, his black dude. And he was like, you know, I asked him, I was like, you think Trump is racist? And he's like, hell, yeah, Trump is racist. And I was like, really, you think Trump's racist is like, yeah, but I also think he's the least racist president we've ever had. And then I was like, go on. And he's like, bro, we have presidents. And we
present to own slaves. And I was like, indeed, we did. He's like, right, he's like, so Trump's racist about some things, but he's the least racist president we've ever had. That's a good thing. And I was like, all right, I, I accept that. Like, okay, we're like, we found compromise here. Yeah. Like, I, I, I don't, I think it's fair to say if you're perspective is that there are some biases that Trump has based on race. So you're arguing, arguing there are some racism there.
I go, you have probably in like minor things that are not super important the way most people would perceive them to be. I don't consider them to be when we say racist, we think like, will he have an aversion to black people? And then it's true. No, I don't think. But does he probably have some racial biases? And probably does, that's a fair, he's the least racist president. I like that biases, not racism. Those are two very separate things. I also think racist
is a. I think that's a. I think if everything is racist, then nothing's racist. Of course. And, but I, but I actually, a lot of what's attributed to him as being racist is just, it's, it's, it's not racist at all. It's. I, I agree. You're eating. I like the guy statement because it turns the left's argument on their head. Yeah. Like, sure, Trump is racist and the least racist president we've ever had, which is a good thing. And then it puts them in a position where it's
like, I do agree with you, but here's why it's better than it's ever been. And then it puts the liberals in a position where it's like, do you agree with this black man who has a approach to this from, yes, you're correct, but it's still better than it's ever been.
“You have to have these liberals concede like, it's true. If you think Trump is racist, you have to”
acknowledge he is the least racist we've ever had. So I think it's a, it's a, it's a, it's a clever tactic. Yeah. You know, I, I, I've had some classmates from my grad school that called me racist for running for Congress, prison. Yeah. And if you look at my wedding party, it's like just pro rainbow. Yeah. Honestly, I'm not to, and not to be that guy who's like, oh, I have one, but yeah, it's like, okay, you can come with whatever you want, but if you don't have evidence for it,
you're just kind of a, a jerk. So all right, we got this from a cerebral vagabond. He says, Tim, please read. I'm a Tim cast member and combat veteran trying to leave a bed situation and need to relocate as quick as possible. Please, if you might give send to go page slash CV zero raised
yet. God bless, go Trump. Well, best of luck there sir, best of luck. Carl says, Tim, never get
sick again. I'm forced to watch Asmen gold and the quartering to get my daily news. Well, you don't have to, there are still people here, but, uh, bro, I just, I've been, I've been, I've been more sick in the past, I've more sick in the past eight months than I've ever been in my life. Like, I've been sick like what four or five times since August. Yeah. I was sick in September. It was brutal. You know, to think it is to be honest, I'm getting older, but I used to travel all the time. So my immune system
Was just bonkers.
you know, I go to, we go to Austin in October. We go to DC into the club three times. And also,
I'm coming out of this one local area where we stay most of the time. And I'm getting sick again. So I just got a buildup that immune system and we're going to be traveling again. We're going, uh, I'm not going to say anything about where we're going, but we're going to be traveling again. And, you know, probably going to get sick again. I have three kids. So I just, you're getting sick all the time. I said, I can't say sick. This is the other thing too. Because I told my wife, I was like,
“I honestly think it's the baby. And she's crawling around on the floor and grabbing everything. And then I'm grabbing”
her and kissing her. You know, remind me how old she is again. She's one. I'm sure playing with other kids too. Yeah. And that was the bigger concern that she'd be around other kids. She's not as much. Right. And so I do think the travel is the bigger factor. But I'm not going to discount that she's crawling around all over the floor and like we do clean. We try to keep everything clean. It isn't effecting all stuff. But she's grabbing whatever. And then I'm picking her up and carrying her
around. And then I'll give her a kiss on the cheek or the head. And I'm just sucking in those germs from the ground. And it's probably not helping. Are you taking vitamin C and zinc? Oh, bro, I'm, I, I, I, I, I probably nearly, uh, just like died overdosing an airborne enzyme and you're more of the dream than I can't handle that enzyme. I can't handle that enzyme stuff. And you don't have to put it to chew it. You're supposed to just let it dissolve your mouth. I'm just, okay. But here's the
reason why it's not meant to be ingested. It's meant to coat your mouth and zinc to inhibit viral replication in your mouth. That's fair. So it's trying to reduce viral load. I think I think what I will do though is I got a really easy solution. If I ever start feeling sick, I will just get a blood boy.
“Oh, sure. That's great. So remember that year where like the flu wasn't here.”
In vampire pool. And then you guys know this like, it's like seven grand or eight grand. And it's a thing that all, yeah, this is, you know about this? All, all the groups there are servicemen. The brave new world here. This is what I'll richness to. There, well, I mean, not all of them are Satanists, but probably probably all of them are Satanists to do for sure. True. All the people who do this Satanists probably are. There, there are companies you can call and you will, and you say, like,
I'd like to do the, it's, it's, it's called like plasma something. And they take the blood plasma, it is scientifically proven, plasma for me. So that is, I don't know if that's, that sounds maybe right but not entirely sure. But if you take the blood plasma from a younger organism and transfer it to an older, the older one heals. And the inverse is true. That's why, I thought that's what it was. If that's part of why like when women have children, like they get extra, you know,
both stem cells and if you take an older person's plasma and put it to a young person, they get sick. Yeah, I bet. Yeah, I bet. Big tech, billionaire who Peter Teele reportedly did that. Yeah.
Yep. And who's that other guy who, like, tries to be young forever and never. He did it
“with a son. Yeah. It is son, give him his blood. I think that was some article out in Australia,”
skydener, something came out. And so that actually people who do the plaza free. So it's, like, cycle, they're blood actually live a lot longer than half of the first season. It's a, it's a fact, it's like it heals your organs. There's, there's, there's a compound in, in higher density, and younger people's plasma that they, they've actually started to try it. I was reading about they may want to try and sell it. I don't know if they are selling it. But they're like, we've isolated
the, the compound in the plasma that's doing the, the work. And so now you can buy it. So anyway, comes with a, listen, listen, listen, listen, listen, listen, listen, libby, libby, calling everybody Satanist. I can be sick for five days or, or I can hook up young persons blood into my blood.
Sure. The old are always willing to sacrifice a young, so that they can live just a little while.
It's capitalism. I will pay them a fair price for their blood. I saw that something speaking to capitalism. I saw something, I saw something about this on the internet. And I was like, look, it's going to be the first chance that Gen Z has to get in money, tram money. The boomers, two Gen Z engine. Oh, good. God, they can actually, you know, pay them. Okay, air market rate, hold on, hold on. What if what if hold on your blood on your organ cell, what if, what if, instead of one,
one blood boy, a hundred blood children, all giving one percent. So for most of them, they notice nothing. You know, we keep them on island or something. Blood, fall. We should do is we should just hook up a bunch of third world women and have them get impregnated and then just like suck the blood. We are so about DACA. On the subject, uh, brave new world kind of stuff. That is happening in the United States with Chinese billionaires. They're literally renting wounds in the United States to have
a kid percent of international commercial surrogacy is with China. Well, do you know, it's because in most of the rest of the world, surrogacy is not legal. Yeah. Even like progressive. It's not legal in France. We're going to go to the Uncensored portion of the show and track the, uh, these, these status on this, uh, election in Texas. So smash the like button share the show with everyone. You have ever met. You can follow me on X and Instagram at Tim cast. Thanks so much for hanging out.
Austin, do you want to shout anything out? Yeah. No. Uh, so, uh, as I mentioned at the outset,
Running for Congress in the second district and, um, you know, pointed out.
reminding me of the website, uh, you know, visit rojusherfloor.com, uh, donate support and looking
“forward to, you know, earning your vote. I'm Adam Johnson. Uh, if you have any money left over after”
you don't, it's his campaign. You can donate to mine. I'm running for a Manatee County Commissioner.
It's a great position. Uh, we're going to win. It's vote Adam Johnson.com. You can follow me on Twitter
“at lectern leader. Uh, I'm going to ask you what a commissioner does. But first, I'm going to pump my”
podcast again. The pot millennial. You can go to the pot millennial.com and find out all of the links
where you can listen to the show. It's a really great show. We've had some really great guests. So far,
“you can go back. You can listen to Tim pool. Of course, you already know and love. Um, we got into some”
pretty interesting ideas. So you can check that out. And, uh, yeah. Thank you. I am Philip Irmaine's on Twix. The band is all of Irmaine. You can check us out all the Irmaine's online.com. We're going on two of the spring with Bornable Cyrus and Dead Eyes. You can, uh, the two are starts April 29th in Albany and goes to the end of May. Uh, you can check out all the Irmaine's music on Apple Music Amazon Music Pandora YouTube Spotify and Desert. Don't forget the left lane is for crying. We will
see. Oh, my bad. Oh, yes. I'm Carter Banks. Um, so working on an outro, but you can follow me over at Carter Banks. Um, follow our label trash house records on YouTube. Thank you so much. Adam and Austin for coming. Uh, Tim. We'll see you all over at rumble.com/timcast.airl in about 30 seconds. Thanks for hanging out.



