Short Wave
Short Wave

Day Zero: When the wells run dry

3/23/202611:531,888 words
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In honor of World Water Day, Short Wave is exploring the ways water touches our lives. From increasing water shortages around the world, to how it’s affecting agriculture and aquifers. We’re starting...

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You're listening to Shortwave.

From NPR. Hey, shortwaveers, Regina Barber here with Producer Rachel Carlson. Hi, Regina. Hey. So in honor of World Water Day, you and Burley, another producer here at Shortwave, are exploring

the ways water touches our lives, from increasing water surges around the world to how it's affecting agriculture and aquifers.

And I've been looking specifically into that first part, Shortages.

For much of the world, normal is going. Earlier this year, the United Nations declared the dawn of a new era, global water bank rupture. Calling for a fundamental shift in how the global community understands our most vital resource water.

Kavey Medani is the director of the UN University's Institute for Water, Environment, and Health. And that clip is from a press conference in January. But Kavey has been thinking about water for way longer than that. He grew up in Tehran with two parents who worked in the water industry, which of

course is now experiencing more intense water crises because of the war. Yeah, and he says he's been sounding the alarm about water in Tehran for years. I'm known back home for a person who was warning about these days. So this is happening.

And then media contacts me and says, how do you feel?

And what does he say? I wish I was wrong. It's miserable to feel and to know that your compatriots are suffering. They're going to suffer and the chaos, the fear, the stress. Even in my darkest projections, I was not thinking that Tehran would hit this day so

early. And the longer this goes on, the closer Tehran could get to something called Day Zero, when a city or a place runs out of water. Right, we've seen places come close to Day Zero, right? So Cape Town in South Africa, Mexico City, Chennai in India.

Tehran is known the first place that has experienced a situation like this in the world

in the last year. Today on the show, what happens when the taps run dry? How cities are coping and why experts say we're overdue for rethinking our relationship to water? You're listening to ShareWave, the science podcast from NPR.

Rachel, I think the first time I heard about Day Zero was in 2018 for Cape Town's

water crisis. Yeah, Cape Town's a really big one and I want to go back even a little further to 2017. Cape Town was experiencing a huge drought. Some water restrictions were in place and people were starting to think about how to conserve water a little bit more.

You don't have to shower every day, we shower every other day, every three days, make the shower shorter. That's Erin Baker, she's a freelance journalist who lived in Cape Town from 2014 to 2021. Well, she was there when all this was going down.

Yeah, and she remembers it all super vividly. Erin says in the midst of the drought, a lot of people were holding out hope, kind of like, "Well, the rains are going to come, but the reservoirs will fill up." But they did it. And the rains?

They kept not coming on February 1st, 2018. Every resident in Cape Town was limited to a maximum of 50 liters or about 13 gallons of water per person per day. How much is that? Like, what can you do with 13 gallons?

Not a ton. So the EPA says the average person in the US uses 82 gallons of water per day. So 13 gallons, that's one 90-second shower. Two liters of drinking water.

If you have a dog, you always have to count in your dog.

That's one sink worth of hand wash dishes or laundry. One or the other, not both. One cooked meal, two washings of your hands, two brushing of your teeth and one flesh of the toilet. So Erin is doing the math.

She's making all of these calculations and trying to figure out how many times do I really need to flush the toilet, even her daughter who's seven or eight at the time is aware of it too. Like, no mommy, I can't shower, I can't take it back today because of the water issues. Wow, yeah.

So like, even kids are taking personal responsibility. Yeah, I mean, Erin told me that the kids were learning about it in school and just all of these questions were circulating.

Do you really want to use your precious water supply?

Even if it's recycled water, do you really want to use it for the toilet? I want to break this down though, like, how does a city like Cape Town get to this point? When it comes to day zero, the exact circumstances of every city are different, but there are a few things that they tend to have in common among them, leaky infrastructure, mismanagement of water, depleting aquifers, and more people living in cities, meaning more demand for

water in concentrated regions.

Climate change?

And climate change. Yeah, I talked to Flippo manga, he's a professor of geography at the university of Bergamo in Italy, and he referred to climate change as an enormous sort of bonus card. Really not the bonus card, you know, when your deck already includes all those other things.

And I know we're going to get into, like, one of those factors, aquifers, that's tomorrow's episode.

But Rachel, maybe for today, can we just zoom into that bad infrastructure part?

Yeah, I talked about this with Manuel Perlow, he's an economist in Mexico City where there's been an ongoing water crisis for years.

30 to 35 percent of the available water gets lost in leaks in the public distribution system.

Yes. Wait, like, leaky pipes? Yeah, and that's a global problem in the US, the EPA estimates around 1 trillion gallons of water each year are wasted just from household wealth. So there's a big engineering problem and a financial one, right?

Yeah. And then on top of that in Mexico City, another 10 percent gets stolen from the system. What does he mean by stolen when water is scarce? It's also profitable. So cartels or groups will steal water from pipes and then sell them for a lot of money.

So you have around 50 percent of the water lost on its way to the consumers.

Other estimates say it's around 40 percent, but either way the distribution of who is actually

getting water usually is an equal. Large parts of the population do not get water at all in Mexico City. They are not attached connected with the public water system.

They've never been connected.

Those are the people that live in a day zero situation. Always. Okay. So for some people, day zero has been here for years already. Yeah, exactly.

Lower income groups spent a lot of their family income in water. About 20 percent of their whole income. They are the ones who suffered the most, but the problem affects the whole city. There's no question about that. That's something Aaron brought up to, especially for a lot of less wealthy people in Cape

Town and the surrounding areas. They were already experiencing water scarcity for years before the drought and before water

restrictions went into place.

The Shanty towns and the townships, they were not wasting water because these were the people who had to fill buckets to take the water to their house. So obviously they understand the value of water because it's, it's measured in, in, and backache. There was one study published in the journal Nature a couple years ago and it looked

at all of this after the fact. They used a model to estimate that the wealthiest household in Cape Town were using over 50 times more water than the lowest income houses they looked at, but everyone had to cut down on their water use or risk being fined, even people who weren't using very much to begin with.

So even the restrictions weren't necessarily equitable either exactly. So what did end up happening in Cape Town in 2018? Cape Town City officials knew they were in big trouble when it came to water. So they'd started building temporary desalination plants as an emergency measure to have more fresh water for people to use for drinking, but what actually let the city avoid

day zero? What happened was that it started to rain. Wow. Felipo called it a mezzianic rain and I mentioned that to Erin and she agreed. It felt so good.

Yeah, it's totally, it was totally, but the goal, I mean we were all, I mean it's not like we were dancing in the streets, it was cold, but I mean you do have the sense of relief. But that's not something you can count on in the future. It's especially not with climate change. They were super lucky.

And Erin says a few years later during COVID, all she could think about was how many times every single day people were washing their hands. Yeah. And I was thinking, if we had had the water crisis combined with COVID and the sanitary measures that you needed, that would have been a freaking disaster.

So you can kind of hear Gina, Erin's mind set around water has flipped since 2017. And that's the kind of thing COVID says needs to happen for all of us, because people often assume water is abundant, or maybe at worst they say there was a crisis.

But how can something be a crisis for almost 15 years?

Maybe this is a wrong terminology for a chronic problem. At this point, COVID says maybe we're past the point of crisis. The crisis is a shock. It's a temporary deviation from a normal that you're used to.

If the crisis is there forever, if it becomes chronic, it's part of the system.

That's an essential element of the system that we need to face.

Okay. So he's saying this situation isn't temporary.

So we need to like completely change our approach to water. Exactly.

And my conversations with people like Kave who study water

and people like Erin who understand how precious water is all came down to one thing. We treat water like it's free, but we can't.

Whenever you have you have touched the top, you have had water.

And all of a sudden you have to get used to a new sort of life.

Even now, if I hear a dripping faucet, I have a visceral reaction to like this is precious stuff. We can't, we can't let that go. Rachel, thank you so much for bringing us this reporting. Yeah, thank you, Gina. If you liked this episode, tune in tomorrow. We've got another water story for you.

This time on Aquifers, the water beneath your feet.

And if you have a second, could you share this episode with a friend?

It helps us grow, and it helps us continue to make episodes like this one. This episode was produced by Berlin McCoy and edited by our showrunner Rebecca Romeras. It was fact checked by a rude nire. The audio engineer was Jimmy Keely. I'm Regina Barber.

Thank you for listening to Shorway from NPO.

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