The DSR Network
The DSR Network

The Daily Blast: Trump Hits Record-Breaking Low in Polls as Aides Leak: He’s “Furious”

20h ago21:313,531 words
0:000:00

Donald Trump’s polling just crashed to new lows. He’s hit a net approval on inflation of negative 50 points in numerous surveys, something no other president has done—ever. Trump also is at 80 percent...

Transcript

EN

With these young children, I don't think it's exciting me.

Really? I think it's my story, total.

The story? How do you feel about it? How do you feel about the story?

Yes, I've been watching over thousands of euros. Do you have any connections? No, just like the story. Wow! And that's just one thing? Of course, the thing is all automatic.

Suddenly, I feel like I'm so exciting. Hold your money, Ty from the Span, with the story. A perfect morning, Star. Sonne. Park. Picknik. And so many Pauls. Jobaputik says, "Gis allege and hello, fooling."

Here, if you're all at the same time, you'll come through the allergy time. When new customers spend 10% on 35 euros, you'll be able to do it. With the code, you'll see. You have a real jobaputik, you'll be able to learn and direct a lesson. Good bye, ladies and gentlemen.

Of Shopminusaputik.com/goodshana. This is the Daily Blast from the New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR network. I'm your host, Greg Sargent.

CNN reports that Donald Trump is furious because his bombings of Iran this week were not portrayed by the media as strong and powerful.

He's apparently frustrated, according to CNN's sources, who are clearly leaking out of concern for his mental state. On another front entirely, Trump is smashing new records in the polling.

He's reaching new thresholds on inflation, and thanks to Trump, Democrats may now be leading Republicans by a key polling metric for the first time.

In many decades, we think these stories should all be connected to each other. The rage and frustration over Iran is basically rage and frustration over his political situation because the former is causing the latter. He's in a political bind that we don't think we've ever seen before. So we're parsing through all this new data and new Trump lunacy with democratic strategist Christina Reynolds, who has worked on a lot of midterms and can explain how all this is playing on the ground.

Christina, thanks for coming on. Thanks for having me. So let's start here. CNN polling analyst Harry Anton made a point I haven't heard before. He said Trump is the only president ever to hit a net approval on inflation of negative 50 points.

And he's done this in many polls. Listen to Anton. Inflation net approval minus 50 points or worse 50 points underwater or worse total polls per president. Trump in 2026 already 8 polls already at least 8 polls in which his meta-proverting on inflation or the cost of living is negative 50 points or worse.

Every other president in every other year, the answer is zero.

So just to reiterate, in 8 polls, Trump has hit a net approval on inflation of negative 50 points. No other president has ever done that. Christina, I don't think I've seen polling quite this bad on the economy for a president, maybe ever.

As long as I've been following politics, maybe something like under George W. Bush, but I don't know what do you think?

I don't think it was this bad. And I worked at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in '06 when we took back the house. And Bush was certainly not a popular president at that time. But these are numbers that I would send back to the poster and say, can you double check? I don't know that I've seen numbers this bad.

And I think Republicans haven't even bigger problem than those numbers. They have a president who absolutely wants credit for fixing everything. He believes his own spin certainly, but also he believes he's taken action and should get credit for that action. And to some degree that happens with a lot of politicians, but this president is especially guilty of that. And so he is not going to fade away into the background, which Bush did largely in 2006.

He is not going to let the Republicans go out and shift the conversation, not that I think they would be able to shift the conversation. When inflation is growing higher than your wages, voters understand that. They know it, they live it, right? And so you can't convince them things are better when they're literally not. But Trump is not just going to go out and talk about things and remind voters of that. He's going to go out and talk about his ballroom.

He's going to go out and talk about the reflecting pool as he did in Wisconsin when he went to one of the most vulnerable Republicans. So this is a huge problem for Republicans. It's not just the polling number. It's what Trump's going to do because of the polling number. You raise a really interesting point there, which is that Donald Trump isn't being at all accommodating of the situation that Republicans find themselves in.

So, you know, they've kind of urged him to try to talk about the economy in a...

But he won't do that because it makes him look like a failure, right?

Since everything has to always be about his lionization, like, you know, his glorious greatness, he just says, you know, I don't care about inflation or affordability is a hoax, right?

There's no sort of sensitivity or awareness of the situation the rest of his party is in any sense. Absolutely not. And that is counter to, as I said, it's counter to George Bush. It's counter to what Nancy Pelosi did when she was house speaker and, you know, understood that some people were going to speak out against her as long as she had the votes she was okay.

I think that there's some level of what gets the party, what gets the values that you support where you need to go and Trump is about what gets Trump where he needs to go.

And it's a huge problem for Republicans. I mean, you heard it in the, I don't care about the midterms comment, you hear it in everything that you do. And my guess, if I was a Republican, I would want him to take a back seat on things outside of maybe fundraising and that's he's doing the exact opposite. And so if you're a Republican and you're forced to stand up there and praise him for gold plating the White House, that's a pretty tough campaign ask.

That's really interesting. By the way, Harry Anton also notes that according to his calculations, Democrats are more trusted on inflation than Republicans for the first time since the 1970s.

And Anton also notes that Trump is the only president to ever hit 80% disapproval on gas prices 80% disapproval on gas prices. Trump is just crushing records all over the place. I swear I have not seen numbers like this ever. So, I mean, either, it's pretty impressive when you think about it. It also is a sign that you can't pull the wall over voters' eyes on things like this. Everyone goes to the gas station, right? Everyone has to deal with the prices going up because of gas prices.

And so you can't fool them and Trump talking the way he does and acknowledging that it's okay, but it'll get better, doesn't help them now. He's really leaving, leaving Republicans in a rough spot.

It's really extraordinary. So, all this is key context for what's coming next.

CNN's Dana Bash reports that sources are saying Trump is quote unquote furious.

Why? Because after Trump struck around this week, the media didn't view his action as powerful enough.

Dana Bash also reports that Trump has frustrated that Iran didn't seem to be taking the strike seriously amazing. So, now Trump is saying that he won't strike Iran again because they're now close to a deal. He says maybe by the time people listen to this, there will be a deal. Maybe not. I don't think so because he's now talking about maybe this weekend. But put that aside. I want to focus on the connection between Trump's rage and his terrible poll. The reason Trump is angry isn't just because Iran won't do his bidding.

It's that by not doing Trump's bidding and keeping the straight of hormones close, Iran has him cornered. It's driving up prices to strong his numbers and destroying GOP midterm hopes.

The anger and the polling are connected in that sense, right, Christina?

Absolutely, they are. His frustration is coming out in what voters are understanding. They get because also it's one of the reasons he can't stop talking about things that are incredibly unpopular. He is just clinically unable to move on because of that rage and that frustration because it didn't go the way he assumed it would go. And so we are stuck in a war that people didn't ask for, that we proactively started, but we are, you know, domestically stuck with higher gas prices and everything that stems from that.

And that's all because he didn't get what he wanted and no one is giving him credit for what he thinks he should get credit for. But no one is giving him any credit. They are giving him rightly the blame. And he can handle that. He's already in the 19th century already. And now the Cube of Capsule Machine in Diner Chibofiale and Chibode E. The football player is there. Now it's time for the midfielder, midfielder and so on.

Click on the banner and he will be with the bonus for the fourth time on the ...

So as the chance of attractive price, as well as the bonus for the Rewe app, just at 18-17.

Yeah, I think that's exactly right. He's in a rage because the media is portraying him as being fundamentally ineffective and unable to resolve the very situation that's creating the high prices.

And by the way, even if he gets a deal, I don't know by the time people listen to this or on the weekend, whenever even if he gets one, those prices, especially on things like energy and gas, are going to stay up for a long time. How do you anticipate? Is that someone who's worked on midterm elections? How do you anticipate the impact of this playing out on the ground in all these races over the next few months? What's it going to look like politically? I think it's going to look like a few things. We're going to see more retirements. We're seeing that at every level of the ballot where Republicans are choosing just not to run again in this environment.

We're going to continue to see voters open for a change in surprising places, voters who understand that maybe it's not forever. Maybe we rent some seats for a little while, but they see it's not working and where we have candidates that are out there talking about issues that matter versus a candidate that is forced to talk about a ballroom or to praise a war that they're not that into. You're going to continue to see voters give a chance to those candidates and I think we've gotten we're running better candidates and we have candidates who understand their districts and are willing to take a chance.

One big difference in the shift that I've seen from 2002 and 2006 to 2018 and now, there's some power in looking at Donald Trump getting elected for people who are not traditional politicians to say maybe I can give it a try and maybe I can offer something different or I can connect better with my community. That means we see some interesting candidates out there who offer something different different is good in a change electorate and it's going to make for some challenging elections for Republicans that they're not expecting.

What happens in those places when we expand the field you have candidates that aren't used to hard races you have candidates who got a little lazy right they have not done their constituents services they have not gone out and had a tough campaign schedule versus a candidate that's new that's trying again. And I can tell you which candidate I'd rather work for every time in that scenario. I want to pick up a little bit more on that because we have a piece up at tnr.com right now about American bridge which is a democratic group there are now investing $50 million in trying to expand the house map and the Senate maps well but let's focus on the house for now they're trying to expand the house map by really going into some very difficult districts traditionally for Democrats.

That means that lean Republican by four or five six seven eight that kind of thing and you know some of these are in North Carolina some of them are in central Pennsylvania some are in Iowa.

But they really are it looks to me Democrats not just American bridge but as a party generally it now looks like there's a new level of commitment to going into harder races to to contesting tougher places and really trying to shake loose whatever can be shaken loose.

That's what happens right in an environment like this if you go contest these races in hard places things happen funny things happen surprising things happen.

You expand the field at a time like this because we look at what's happened since Trump got elected since Trump got elected Democrats have flipped 30 state legislative seats Republicans have flipped none.

Democrats have overperformed in the elections that have happened a variety of special elections you know and state legislative elections.

Democrats have overperformed in 85% of those seats that that number in 2006 was about two thirds so we're overperforming all over the place and that's why I think you're going to see it at the house level.

The state legislative level where we're looking for where can we play where somewhere is ripe for they have an incumbent that has gotten lazy or is standing with Trump too much against the interests of their people. They have an electorate that's just a little tired of what's happening or is particularly impacted by the economy by gas prices you know ag communities are great examples of this.

I think you're going to see this more and more where organizations where camp...

They don't have the message for that to actually reach and connect with voters fascinating and to bear this all out we have this new Emerson poll it has Democrats leading in the generic house ballot match up by 10 points 50% to 40% that's 5040 now the polling averages have a little tighter at 50 plus one they have it at six points the averages 49 to 43 but this 10 point poll makes me think that the averages could start to widen as well. And if Dems are up at seven eight nine points you're looking at a way where do you think it is right now do you think it's closer to six or do you think it's closer to 10 and where do you expect the spread to end up you know this fall.

You know I I am usually a pragmatist maybe a pessimist but I think this is going to be a way of election I think we have we spend a lot of time talking about a very few candidates and so we missed some of the amazing candidates who are running in.

We have a lot of phenomenal women running around the country who are working class candidates who have been really in their communities we have a number of.

People who are doing surprising things on the state level we have some phenomenal candidates and so I feel like. And between the environment between the precedent and between what Trump is going to be able to do and how little they are going to be able to control that and how much they're going to have to walk with him off that cliff.

I feel good about where Democrats are I think that we are one of the reasons that generic ballot is.

We are reminding people and one of the reasons most importantly that Democrats are winning on inflation is we are reminding people that we understand that costs are important.

But there is work that government can do important work to help make things a little bit easier for families and Trump is not doing that at all that's part of how he won was communicating with voters and telling them he understood. And to this this these price increases don't matter and you're talking about house candidates when you talk about these working class women around the country.

How's candidates state legislative candidates in some cases group in a tutorial candidates.

They don't get as much attention as usually you as Senate candidates but but there's some really great candidates out there doing great work and I think that's going to make a difference to.

There's some way to 2018 where just where Trump's first election just brought in this kind of whole new class of public servant just out of nowhere right we're seeing a new way of the right now and and it really is heartening stuff to see. I want to flag something else from the Emerson poll in the generic house ballot matchup Democrats are leading the GOP among independence by 1545 to 30. Now how important are independence in midterm elections and what do you make of that number I guess my sense is a lot of what we're seeing now is making it possible for Democrats to have conversations with certain constituencies and types of voters that they couldn't really reach before.

Are tuned to listening to what Democrats have to say now right. Yeah, I think that's exactly it I think that number is huge and hugely important more and more people are are finding themselves unafiliated they are deciding maybe I'm not connected to either party this is some of this is the divisiveness some of this is the way we paint both sides. I count me as someone who I don't love where my parties you know where the democratic party brand is right now, but I'm not as worried about it because I think each candidate is running their own race on democratic values and I think those values are incredibly popular and that's why we're appealing to independence right now.

Sure looking really good right now because you know I have to say tell us what could go wrong. Lots of things you know there we never know what's going to happen in the world we never know how things are going to change and what voters exactly are going to care about will there be you know massive world events will there be natural disasters and things like that. All of which just throw a campaign off its axis a little bit and so we never know that but but I feel very good about the fact that we have a class of candidates across the country and up and down the ballot.

I think that's the way to know how to talk to voters who have an agenda that they can sell this is not just Trump stinks right that message those messages right then those ads right themselves he keeps giving us content and that's out there but I do think we have to provide something positive for voters I actually think we're doing that and so.

I think we keep laying the groundwork we keep supporting those candidates and...

It's really got the same kind of nose to the grindstone feeling the 2018 had I think it does it very much does Christina Reynolds on that note we don't usually end on a positive note around here so let's really grab this opportunity well it's there Christina awesome the talk to you thank you so much come back you too thanks so much. Now the cheese is a new kind of snack that the customer has now smacked and now his package is ready to eat the best you can eat a gratis test and he will have the cheese cheese cheese cheese now to gratis test.

Thank you.

Compare and Explore