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From the New York Times, it's the headlines. I'm Tracy Mumford.
Today's Tuesday April 14th, here's what we're covering.
It feels like we're a long, long way away from Iran and the war there. But here, these farmers are hurting because of that conflict.
“This harvester behind me exemplifies the challenges that farmers are facing.”
My colleague Damien Cave is in Vietnam, tracing the global fallout from the war in Iran. Vietnam is the world's second largest exporter of rice, a staple for hundreds of millions of people. This thing uses about a hundred liters of diesel a day. Before the war started, that would cost about $72.
Now it's $160. The farmers here are freaking out and trying to figure out how to deal with that much of a cost increase. The street of Hormuz all but closed for the last six weeks, oil and gas prices have skyrocketed.
And Damien says that's made things not just more expensive, but also slower. Weeks long shipping delays have become common since the huge boats that transport rice and other goods have lowered their speeds to save fuel. Damien went to one wholesale rice distributor where in normal times a huge conveyor belt would have been going 24/7.
“Now he said it was stopped and there were bags just piling up that normally would have”
been shipped out to China, the Philippines, even Trader Joe's and Costco. Add in the shortages of fertilizers since a lot of the world's supply comes from the Middle East and Damien says the impact on food prices could be long term. One rice farmer told him quote, "If I grow new crops, I'm just pouring money into the ground."
For the moment, the economic fallout caused by disruptions to the straight could get even worse. Yesterday, the US started its own blockade of the waterway to stop Iranian oil tankers that had been getting through. The goal is to put pressure on the regime by choking off the country's oil revenue, but it could drive global oil prices up even more.
Meanwhile in Washington. The big question from here on out is whether the Iranians will have enough flexibility,
whether the Iranians will accept the critical things that we need to see in order for things
to get done. After talks between the US and Iran collapsed over the weekend, Vice President JD Vance said the big sticking point was Iran's nuclear program. The US has repeatedly insisted that the country must never be able to build a nuclear weapon. But the times has now learned that what the US actually put forward at the talks was a
20-year plan, demanding that Iran would have to agree to suspend all nuclear activity for the next two decades. In some ways, it's a repeat of how US Iranian policy has gone in the past, with many instances of US officials trying to buy time, delaying Iran's nuclear ambitions, but not ending them completely.
People familiar with the current negotiations told the times that, in response, yesterday, Iran said it would agree to a suspension of up to five years. President Trump has already rejected that offer according to a US official, but the fact that the two sides are talking about timelines could be a sign of progress in negotiations. Yesterday, two members of Congress resigned amid allegations of sexual misconduct.
First, Democratic Representative Eric Swallwell of California said he would resign, just
days after CNN and the San Francisco Chronicle published reports that he sexually assaulted a former staffer, which he denies, and engaged in misconduct with other women. Swallwell had already suspended his campaign for California Governor, but a growing number of lawmakers, including many of his Democratic colleagues, said they would support forcing him out of the house, too.
In response, Swallwell issued a statement saying that being expelled from Congress without due process over an allegation is wrong, but, quote, "It's also wrong for my constituents to have me distracted from my duties. He didn't offer a timeline for his resignation." An hours later, Republican Representative Tony Gonzalez of Texas said he would also leave the house, as he's faced growing outcry over his behavior. He's been accused of coercing
a staff member into a sexual relationship, the woman later killed herself. Text messages documenting his relationship with her recently became public.
Originally, the representative denied the relationship, then called it a mist...
he had nothing to do with her death. Yesterday, and opposed announcing his resignation,
“he wrote, quote, "There is a season for everything, and God has a plan for us all."”
In both states, it's up to the governors if they want to call for special elections to replace the representatives before November. Swallwell's seat in California is in a heavily Democratic district, making it unlikely to change hands. In Texas, Gonzalez's district was drawn to favor Republicans, but Democrats have been performing surprisingly well in special elections in districts like that over the last year.
This week, Pope Leo kicked off a 10-day trip to Africa, with stops in Algeria and Gola, Cameroon,
an equatorial guinea. It's a big moment of outreach for the Pope, though the start of his trip
has become tangled up in a back and forth with President Trump, with Trump lashing out at the Pope after the Catholic leader criticized the war and Iran. Still, my colleague Matoko Rich, who is traveling with Pope Leo, says he remains focused on two main goals for the trip. One is that Africa has a largest population of Catholics. Now, one out of every five Catholics in the world live in Africa, and it's also the fastest growing Catholic population
because there's so many young people. So he definitely wants to reach out to the future of the church by coming to Africa. But this sort of overarching theme of the trip is peace and unity,
“and I think peace is partly that he wants to talk about it in Africa, but he also is using the”
trip to have a platform to talk about peace around the world. He's been pretty outspoken since the United States and Israel started attacking Iran to the point where he drew out President Trump on social media. So I think that he is using this opportunity to talk about general principles. He's already in his speeches talked about violations of international law, the need for reducing inequality, respect, dignity, and unity. So I think they're both kind of specific themes
addressing Africa and more general themes that he wants to elevate. Tomorrow is Tax Day, and the time has been looking at how the filing deadline has become a major dilemma for many undocumented immigrants. For decades, the IRS implicitly encouraged undocumented taxpayers to file their returns, and millions did. It was seen by some people as a way
“of showing they were making effort to follow the rules and to avoid jeopardizing any potential”
future pathway to legal residency. But that all changed last year when the IRS decided to share more information with immigration officials in a controversial break with long-standing privacy practices. Now, many undocumented people fear that filing could get them deported across the country, organizations that help immigrants with tax returns say they've seen a noticeable drop-off in the number of filings that could have widespread impacts for immigrants,
preventing them from getting tax refunds that they were counting on. And the federal government could also take a hit, potentially losing out on some of the tens of billions of dollars in taxes that undocumented people pay every year. One political scientist told the times that the new collaboration between tax and immigration officials is, quote, sending the message to undocumented immigrants and mixed status families that being in the shadows is safer. The IRS did not respond
to a request for comment. And finally, in the last decade, investment firms have been
gobbling up many of America's favorite foods, acquiring stakes in Duncan, Popeyes, Jersey Mike's. Now, big money is coming for the bagels. The wisdom used to be that really good bagels were not profitable and not scalable. The baking process is too finicky with all the proofing and rolling and rising and boiling and baking. But you cannot tell me that these bagels aren't the prettiest bagels you've ever seen. Thanks in part to food influencers and
trend-obsessed customers demand for the perfect bagel has now exploded. The inside is so true and the outside is so seasoned and crispy. Especially in the south and the sun belt, where populations are surging and specialty bagel spots can feel novel. They're making fresh batches every 20 minutes and we have just five flavors. Investment firms are now pouring tens of millions of dollars into those businesses, hoping to turn them into runaway successes. They're banking on people who want
something different than the big chains. Einstein Brothers, Brugars, Noah's, which are all owned by Panera. Their growth has been stagnant. But boutique, artists and bagels, game on. One Florida business owner
Who got started making bagels at home during the pandemic said when he opened...
quote, "I suddenly got emails from every investment fund I'd ever heard of." Still, some people
“are skeptical whether investment firms will boost bagels long-term as they chase profits. The author”
of a book on private equity told the Times quote, "the play is always to take the thing that
made it unique and try to universalize it." It's a move that can pay off and put you on every
“main street in America, or it can collapse spectacularly. Those are the headlines. Today on the daily,”
a look at what's happened in the tech industry as coders have started trying to get AI to do their
jobs for them. You can listen to that in the New York Times app or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Tracy Mumford. We'll be back tomorrow.
