705: Dr. Martin Seligman - Positive Psychology, Learned Optimism, Grit, PERMA, Agency, Resilience, and Predicting the Future

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That's learningleaderscircle.com Welcome to the learning leader show presented by Insight Global. I am your host Ryan Hawth. Thank you so much for being here. Go to learningleaders.com for showing notes of this and all podcasts episodes.

Go to learningleaders.com now on to tonight's featured leader, the legend Dr. Martin Seeligman is one of the most influential psychologists aligned. He's the founder of Positive Psychology and a Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he directs the Positive Psychology Center. His research reshaped how we think about optimism, resilience, and human flourishing.

His latest book is called Agency, the Psychological History of Human Progress. During our conversation, we discuss why the man who founded Positive Psychology calls himself a "born-depressive" and pessimist. And the technique he uses to argue with his own dark thoughts every single day, credible. Then the three ingredients of agency, that's efficacy, optimism, and imagination, and

how leaders can hire and train for all three and then towards the end, Marty shares a technique that will dramatically increase your level of optimism, and it will make others feel a lot better. Ladies and gentlemen, please enjoy my conversation with Dr. Martin Seeligman. Marty, this is a huge treat for me.

Welcome to the Learning Leader Show. Oh, thank you Ryan to pleasure to be here. It's funny I recently spoke with somebody who spoke very highly of you and looks up to you. And that is Angela Duckworth. I'm curious.

What do you think of her and her work? Well, she's one of the best students I've ever had. I've had about 100 PhDs, and she came to me as a mature person, and in her first year

had this breakthrough about grit, and there's been no stopping her since.

“Pretty cool to see good things happen to good people, isn't it?”

It's great to be outdone by one of her students. That's pretty cool. It's got to feel awesome. She's also, I felt like one of the most humble, accomplished people I've ever met. That's a rare quality in a person.

Yeah, and she's a socially one of the most intelligent people I've met. So I've in teaching for 60 years, I've met a lot of successful people, and usually they're very smart and Angela is as well, but what's distinguished the real successes that I know from other very smart people is extremely high-sourcial intelligence. So Angela could have been president of the University of Pennsylvania if she wanted to, or

I think Secretary of State, and it's great that she's chosen being public intellectual.

“What does it look like to be a very highly socially intelligent person?”

I think the first thing is that people get on your side.

When you've got the skills of that kind of social intelligence, you build allies, so people are ready to assimilate you and endorse you and follow your work. And Angela has been one of the great collaborators, so she's probably had 50 co-authors in her relatively short career, and it has to do with making allies rather than enemies. I was going to say because that seems like a quality or maybe a skill that would be who

all of us to figure out how to get good at it.

along and really levels the playing field in education, which you can't be the smartest

“person in the room anymore, question is what should we be teaching?”

And among the things I think we should try to teach if it's teachable is high-sourcial intelligence. Is it teachable? They're tricks to it. Let me give you one that I work on, but as it's not the same as it's teachable. So in over 60 years of teaching, I taught pretty much everything in psychology except statistics

that I've taught sex therapy in marital therapy. And these are two of the least successful forms of therapy.

You're basically trying to take insufferable marriages and change them into barely tolerable

marriages. So for someone who founded positive psychology, that's not what I'm after. So around 20 years ago, a group of positive sexologists and marital therapists developed a new technique, which I think is one of the best social intelligence techniques I know, typically in marital therapy you teach people out of fight better.

But they said let's teach people how to celebrate better. What do you say to someone you love, or someone you really care about, not when they come to you with a problem, or when they come to you with a victory?

“Okay, so what you have to imagine here Ryan is a two-by-two table active passive constructive”

destructive. And I'll give you an example with my wife of what active constructive is, and this is one of the keys to a technical social intelligence. So my wife, Mandy, is a black and white photographer, she's an amateur, and a few years ago she came downstairs and Marty, I just got a call from the editor of black and white

magazine, which is the big photographic magazine in the world. I won first prize in the black and white contest this year. Okay, Mandy's come to me with something great, and the question is what should I say to her? Now what I would have said to her, had I not revelatory drawn marital therapy, was congratulations dear, you're a great photographer, you deserve it.

So that's a passive constructive, well that has no effect on anything, has just wallpaper. Now I've trained 40,000 drill sergeants in the United States Army to do positive psychology,

and drill sergeants are as you imagine them, they are tough and critical, and what they

would say to Mandy is active destructive, which is, you know what tax bracket that prize is going to put us into, that's a relationship destroyer. So some people say, well, what's for dinner and that's passive destructive.

“Now the only thing that works is active constructive, and it's basis is that in our humble”

society, when we succeed, we don't brag about it, it's water off a duck's back, and so the object is to put Mandy in touch with this great thing, it's just happened to her. Now the first thing you do is you have to show her that you understand what this prize was for, so I said instead of congratulations dear, was it the black and white swan picture that you took a blend of the last year that one said, yeah, that was the one I entered,

and I said, well, you know, that's the most moving picture of an animal I've ever seen.

So the first thing I did was to show her that I knew what was going on, then the important

stuff occurs, and that's to really put her in touch with this victory. And so I said, now exactly what did the editor say to you on the phone, you know, for a maiden, and so she rehearsed it, getting more and more excited as she did, and they said, well, what do you think it is about your photography that could have defeated all these political prize winning New York Times journalists?

She's very home, she's British, so she's very humble as an Asian, well, I'm pretty good

Great, and I said, now we call them school art children, and we teach them these things.

So I said, now, many, how can you use this nuance of gray to teach the kids painting better?

“And even how can you tell me how to use it when I teach the kids later at sure?”

I said, let's go to the refrigerator and open that bottle of dumb parano and it's been sitting there for a decade. So it turns out when you do that, it increases love, commitment, sexuality, and it decreases divorce statistically, but most importantly, it's a technical use of high social intelligence. So I think I know how to teach various techniques of social intelligence, but then there

are people who I think for 50% heritable reasons, just have it, and most of us like me don't

and we need those techniques.

You know the two words, Marty, that I took out of that, are specificity and curiosity. You were very specific in your praise, and you were very curious in the questions you asked her. And I think that is a great way to show anybody love, to show anybody that you care, to show anybody that you're interested.

“And if you want to be an interesting person, you've got to be interested.”

And it feels like that was like a perfect example of specificity mixed with curiosity. And then of course, let's have a party, right? Let's go. You just want a big thing. We got to celebrate.

Because it might feel weird if I want a thing and I start popping the bottles, I won't want my wife Miranda to start popping the bottles, right? That's how I should go when we win something. That's really cool. What a great story.

You know, important for leadership as well. So we're not very good at praising and celebrating as leaders. Why is that? Well, I think I have a funny view of leadership, because of what a book you and I do. We get to meet a lot of famous people.

And I've met, you know, Nobel Prize winners, generals, cabinet members, university presidents, and like. And they all need in different ways. You know, they've been promoted to leadership for a huge variety of reasons other than social intelligence.

The great problem for me of a whole field of leadership is it tells people, let's find out what the leaders are doing that makes them good leaders. And across by experience, different leaders do vastly different things. So for me, leadership is heterogeneous and it's a wild goose chase to find a universal thing I do.

But I look at followership. And for me, there's something that followers have it common with a good leader. And in positive psychology, it's called "perma," where "p" is "osive emotion." "E" is "engagement," "or" is "good relationships." "M" is "meaning and mattering," and "A" is a accomplishment.

Now, in my life, what I do a lot is I measure "perma" in a huge variety of situations. And for me, "Followership," that works is "high-perma." So my view of leadership is forget the techniques and look at who creates the most "perma," and most the leaders who build "perma," tell leaders they're accountable not only for the productivity of their followers, but also for the well-being, the "perma" of their followers.

And that's because what we found in the last few years is across companies. I will being predicts high productivity.

“One additional question about grit, since that's how we started, even though none, I didn't”

plan for any of this, but it's so cool when it happens to me. No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. These are not on it. Anyway, I'm just curious of how grit and agency, how are they aligned?

Yeah, so let's talk about agency, for example.

So for me, agency has three different components, the first component is efficacy.

And that's the belief that I can achieve a specific goal in the here and now.

that I can achieve that goal into the future and into the power future.

“And the third is imagination, and that's the range of goals that an individual can envision.”

Now each of those works in a slightly specific way. Efficacy works because it controls trying. So if you believe you can do it, you try. Optimism works by controlling persistence, maintenance, and grit, particularly in the face of adversity.

And imagination works by creativity and innovation. So the answer to your question about grit is, "Crit is one of those characteristics that feeds into high optimism and increases perseverance, particularly in the face of adversity." Got you. Okay.

When I was reading about you, Marty, a self-described, born, depressive, and pessimist who studies

optimism. How does this work out?

“Well, depression and pessimism and happiness and optimism are too important to be left”

to happy people. Now, I was born pessimist and depressive, and I've had to invent and learn and use techniques to combat my own depression and pessimism. I'll just give an example, Ryan, I wake up and foreign this true, woke up and foreign the morning this morning said, "Oh my God, having an interview with Ryan Volk at noon.

Look, I'm 84 years old, Ryan has a young person, he's up on everything, and I'm really out of it. I can't do this interview." Okay. So those are the voices I hear at four in the morning.

The voices have never gone away, but I've become an expert, disputer of those voices.

That is, I treat them not as gospel-true, but as a rival, someone who is mission is to make my life miserable and I argue against them. So two things I did, one was 30 seconds ago, but the other was a four in the morning. I said, "Hey, wait a minute. I gave an interview last week with another famous interviewer and it went swimmingly.

I can do it." But most importantly, you and I started out this interview with a really good spontaneous conversation about Angela Duckworth that I had neither you nor I knew it was going to occur, and it went really well. And I said to myself, "I argue against it, hey, you know, we're on the same wavelength.

There's no problem here, even though I'm 45 years older or more than Ryan, we're having a swimming interview." And so I've learned to argue against my most pessimistic thoughts.

“I think it really helps to hear you say that because some could assume all this dude invented”

positive psychology and optimism, of course, it's probably because it's easy for him. And yet, you're still battling with this thing for decades, and it's a daily occurrence. And I think that speaks volumes to somebody who thinks, "Oh, well, this is just something I'm cursed with." Or I have to fight this negative self-talk or I have to fight these things in my head that

are telling me I'm not worthy or I can't do it or I have imposter syndrome or whatever it may be. And yet, you, the guy who literally invented this thing, still is a daily battle. Happiness does not come easily. Some people are blessed with it.

It's a minority actually and the techniques of happiness and wellbeing don't come naturally. They've had to be invented and tested rigorously and indeed a lot of my life has been about testing the anti-depressive techniques and the drugs and testing the happiness techniques. Okay. I want to get back to agency.

Oh, good. Well, I'm going to go down an area where I don't know what I'm talking about. Okay. Not that I do with anything, but I probably know a little bit more with some of this stuff. Specifically, I love studying great cultures.

Cultures of teams, both sports, as you know, for my background as well as in business and

Just a great culture.

“And one of the lines I really like is when cultures have agency, they progress, right?”

They improve.

But when they lose agency, they stagnate.

And I think that's like a big part of what this book is about. And to me, thinking of leaders who want to build cultures of people that have high agency, that's what we want, right? One of the natural questions is, okay, where would we start? If you're a SVP of whatever at a Fortune 500 company in America and you're thinking,

like, I'm reading Marty's book, I don't know if we got the agency level that I think we need it to be in order to keep progressing. We might be stagnating a bit. Where would that person start? How would you get to know that a little bit better as well as then fix that improve that

situation? Well, before I answer that, let me say what this book is really about. And what I'm after Ryan and the reason is that you're a listenership should read it. I'm founding a new field here. I call it psycho-history.

It has two aims.

The first aim is to look from culture in history and look at the way psychological variables,

principally agency, change the course of history, and change cultures. And the second is to use those tools to predict the future. Now, what the book does is it looks across cultures, across religions, at how much agency they have and relates it to progress. And what the book also talks about is how we can predict the future, both your own future

with respect to depression, success, or even presidential elections, and how we can use what we found out about psycho-history to change our future for the better. The presidential part was interesting. Going back some past ones and up to recent ones, when you're really studying the words

they're using in this do-cocus bet, that was funny reading about how there was actually

some issues there because there's different speech writers from what he was saying and what he actually was. Can you go into this bet you made back in the day about do-cocus because of when you were

“studying the actual language he was using in his speeches?”

Yeah, I'm happy to do that. And I also want to talk about Donald Trump. Since I've spent a lot of last month analyzing 8,600 of his tweets, but let's talk about do-cocus in presidential elections. So with one of my graduate students, Harold Zulo, we had looked at a century of presidential

elections and we had looked at the nomination acceptance speeches and we analyzed them for optimism. We have objective ways of analyzing proptomism and now with AI we've got super ways of analyzing proptomism. But anyway, we had found it by and large the more optimist to candidate wins.

And indeed in 1984, I think it was, there were 13 candidates for presidents, six Democrats, seven Republicans. In January, we analyzed the stump speeches for optimism and we pushed the results in a sealed envelope and sent them to the New York Times to open it in May when the primaries were over and we predicted that Michael Dukakis and George Bush would be the nominees.

And it's the only time I'd ever been on the front page of the New York Times, but we got it right and it was sealed envelope, no nonsense. Well, I decided to put my money. There wasn't much of it, I had saved $17,500 by my life savings to bet on the election. So I went to Las Vegas and it's illegal in the United States to bet on a presidential

election for good reasons. So I actually flew to Edinburgh and went to a betting parlor got two to one on Dukakis. Dukakis' nomination acceptance speech was much more optimistic than George Bush's, George Bush, the first. And I came back and I said to Harold, do you want to piece of my action?

Harold?

“That's how I've got bad news for you, Marty.”

I Ted Sorenson, who is Kennedy's speech writer, wrote the acceptance speech and I've been analyzing the press conferences of Dukakis, and he's much more pessimistic than Bush.

So indeed, we try to predict who's going to win, and we do it by rigorous analysis

of optimism and pessimism in speeches. So we took the nomination acceptance speeches of Eris, an uptrump, and they were about equal for optimism and pessimism. Now contrary to what you might think, Trump, even though he's very dark, you think he's dark, because he sights in general four times as many negative events as Eris.

But we decided to look at press conferences as opposed to set speeches, and so they're tied in early September, but through all of September and October, Trump gets more and more optimistic. Even though it's dark, I'm going to solve these problems.

The explanations for bad events are optimistic, and by November 1st, he's much more optimistic

than Eris. We did the sealed envelope again, and we predicted, and I think we were almost alone among

“pundits that Trump would win and maybe buy a lot, and indeed that's what happened.”

So this is relevant, Ryan, to the question of predicting the future. So what's important about the field of psychohistory, this new field, if you can find effects of agency on historical events, and I go back to the Iliad and the Odyssey, and then goes through Western and Chinese history, looking for the effects of agency on historical progress.

We can take those lessons, and the basic lesson is that when efficacy, optimism and imagination are high in a culture and a religion, that's when you get progress. When they're low, that's when you get stagnation and regression. And the reason that's more than just to exercise in medieval Christianity, which I spend a lot of time on, but to lessen for the future, as in the Trump election, and as in predicting

“success in the workplace, agency is a psychological state that causes historical change,”

and therefore causes in the future, many historical trends that we're going to be concerned about. So I'm deeply interested in predicting a future and using psychological variables as predictors of the future. So I'm trying to think of the portable lesson for a leader outside of, in this case, politics.

I get asked to go talk at a company off-site, or even like a national sales kickoff, you know, and usually at the beginning of that before I go, there's either the CEO or the head of sales, we'll get up and give their talk. What I hear most of the time is a ton of optimism, a ton of belief, very big stretch goals that we're going to go crush those things.

So it feels to me like everybody kind of does this, but I know for a fact, not all of those companies actually then follow through and hit those goals or accomplish the things the CEO or the head of sales is saying. So I just want to make it as portable and as useful as possible. It feels to me like the dumb down version, it gets here the smart one, I'm not, but the

dumb down version is, hey man, just go be optimistic when you give a speech somewhere.

“Go say that we're going to crush these goals, or I believe in you.”

We're going to go do it, like we can accomplish big things. We're going to go to the moon, right? Not because it's easy because it's harder, you know, am I right there or like what am I missing after we predicted the Duke Caucus push result? I got letters from both Democratic and Republican National Committees.

We said, hey, how do you write optimistic speeches? Of course. Okay, well funded by being a political and funded by the National Institute of L, I sent them protocols on how you score optimism and therefore how to write an optimistic speech. What we found over the next few elections was sheer bullshit and people saying, I'm the

most optimistic man in the world and like we basically couldn't do much because people

were writing optimistic speeches, which were shallow. Now, why does the CEO saying we're going to crush them do anything?

So the question is not the verbiage that the leader uses, but to the extent that optimism agency has caught on into the psychology of the followership and the company. And so that depends on things like hiring policy and training in the company.

“So let me give you an important example.”

I was fortunate enough to be the league consultant for the United States Army on Comprehensive Soldier Fitness, which taught resilience and positive psychology to 40,000 drill sergeants over the course of the Iraq War. And one of the reasons we were able to do that is we were able to design a questionnaire

about agency, optimism, efficacy, that everyone takes on the first day of entering United

States Army. This is not about the generals, it's about followers. So we had for 900,000 soldiers, their level of agency, optimism, catastrophizing, pessimism, etc. And we follow them for five years.

And the Army gives two big awards on the positive side. One is for exemplary work and the other is for heralds. And in five years, 12% of the Army gets this.

“So the question was, could we predict in advance who is going to win these awards?”

And the answer was, from day one, we could predict it. And there were three predictors.

The first was optimism, but more optimistic soldiers were more likely to win the awards.

The second was high-positive emotion, and the third was low-negative emotion, not being a complainer. Now, that revered to your question about the CEO versus the company itself. So what's important here is that the people you hire should be if you got the choice of happy people, optimists, high-positive emotion, low-negative emotion.

And if you don't have luxury of hiring whoever you want, and if you stock with a lot of pessimists like me, you want to train them in the techniques we've found that move pessimism to optimism. There's one more thing Ryan, we found with the Army, and that was the opposite of success. How do we predict catastrophe?

Now failure in the Army can best be described as post-traumatic stress disorder. So again, and this is not a sample we had everyone in the Army, 75,000 men and women are deployed to our rock and Afghanistan. From day one, we've got their psychological profiles, 3500 of them are diagnosed with post-traumatic stress disorder.

“Could we predict who is going to come down with post-traumatic stress disorder?”

And yes, there were two factors, one of which we already knew, and the biggest factor, and that is the worst to come back, the more the post-traumatic stress disorder. But the important psychological thing was catastrophizers. For much more likely at every level of combat to come down with post-traumatic stress disorder.

So we had six catastrophizing questions, where catastrophization basically means when

somebody bad happens to you, you get obsessed with the very worst that could occur. And indeed, what we found is that the catastrophizer here are more than double the risk at every level of combat for post-traumatic stress disorder. So here's the lesson for leaders and companies, as far as hiring goes higher at people, avoid hiring catastrophizers, and if you don't have a choice of who to hire, take with

catastrophizers as a pessimist in your company and teach them the techniques of agency. That sounds like a huge lift. I would like to skip that part, but I know that's not realistic. Let's go to that.

I got to do with it with what I can.

“How do you take someone who's a catastrophizer or a pessimist and train them to be more”

optimistic? Well, let me tell you a technique that works. It's called "Put it in Perspective." I'll do it with your listenership right now. I want each of you to imagine the fallen.

It's noon on Friday and you get an email from your manager that says, "Come see me at 4 o'clock." Okay. What are you thinking?

It turns out I know what you're thinking because we're all born catastrophizers.

We've got our Ice Age ancestors, genes, and the worst catastrophizers are going to be thinking, "This is it, I'm going to be fired." Okay. Those are the worst catastrophizers, so here's the exercise we do. One, or a clock, we've got to see, "What's the very worst that could happen?"

She read my memo, "It's awful she hates it and I'm going to be fired on the spot. We have to get into that." Okay? Okay. Part two, "What's the very best that could happen at 4 o'clock?"

Very best? Well, she read my memo and she really liked what I said about the advertising campaign and I would about to get a raise and be promoted on the spot at 4 o'clock. Okay?

“What's the most likely thing that's going to happen?”

Well, she read my memo, she liked it, but my budget was way off and she's going to want to cut the budget. Okay. Good. What can you do to plan for the most likely scenario?

Well, I'm going to go over that budget again and justify part of it and cut the fat out. So we find when we put people through put it in perspective, they get a lot better at realistic predictions of what's going to happen. But that's one of about a half dozen techniques we have, that change catastropheization into a much more realistic perspective on the future.

And the problem about catastropheization is it paralyzes you, fills you with fear, make sure helpless, and doesn't equip you for the future. By the way, I had this moment of gratitude, like I was raised in a home, especially my dad, my parents are both very optimistic people, my dad's like the most optimistic person I've ever met.

And the person I ended up marrying Miranda is in a dead tie with him for the most optimistic and upbeat and positive belief, especially in me that I've ever met. And man, I'll tell you, it is really nice being around that. It's just a nice feeling to get to be around constant, not like in a way that's annoying. I'm just saying, like, just belief and like, let's celebrate the good things.

You mentioned it earlier in the conversation, I can't even imagine I feel for some of my friends when I know they don't have that or worse, they have the opposite end of that spectrum.

“I think that could just be so crushing over the long term to be around the catastrophe”

or the one who always finds a way to find the bad in all the situations.

Even in my 80s, I'm still finding the importance of being married to an optimist. And by the way, statistically, if you're a pessimist, disaster is to marry another pessimist. And that's because something bad happens and you both see the worst possible interpretations of it. So indeed, I married a strong optimist and the following thing happened to be about two years

ago. Now, it so happens that even though I've been pushing positive psychology for about 30 years, I am a complainer and the area in which I complain a lot is food and wine. So it turns out I know a lot about wine and I'm serious about food. But the problem about that is when I take my kids, my wife, my grandchildren, out to dinner

and the Somalia comes up with a bottle of wine, they duck under the tables. Are you a wine shop, Marty?

knob.

“So my children are actually embarrassed by me when I turned back a bottle of wine just”

ifiably.

And after one of these occasions in which Mandy took me aside, we just had this celebratory

meal for the engagement of one of my kids and you ruined it by complaining about wine. I realized Ryan in that moment, if Mandy complained as much as I did, I wouldn't want to be married to her. And in that moment, I decided I wasn't going to complain about food and wine anymore. And about two weeks later, we're at a good restaurant and I ordered steak tartar and the

Meshady comes up and says, "Oh, I'm sorry, but first you're selling them, the machine is broken, you're booking the machine. You don't make steak tartar with a goddamn machine. You take the beef and you shave it with a sharp knife, I'll have this smoke salmon, please." So I've actually learned in the last couple of years to stop complaining.

Is that hard for you?

“Yeah, because I'm always thinking about, you know, this wine is not been stored well.”

You don't make a machine.

Yeah, the thoughts are always there.

The thoughts aren't going to go away, but the behavior changes and it's just like catastrophization and depression. If you're a pessimist, the thoughts are always going to be there, but there are plenty of things that you could learn to do, decadestraphization, capitalizing on celebrating good events, arguing against your most catastrophic interpretation to change your behavior

if not with pause. One of the other tools you mentioned that I love, that I've implemented because I learned it from the coaches on my team, this idea of a gratitude testimonial. Can you tell me how this is a tool that helps you become a more optimistic person by showing your gratitude for somebody?

“Yeah, let's do it with your listeners now.”

Okay. Do the technique I'll do with you Ryan. Okay. I want you to imagine someone who's still alive who did or said something for you that changed your life for the better.

Okay. I got such a person in mind, I got an assignment for you and I want you to do it tonight. I want you to write a 300 word testimonial to that person. It should have three parts.

The first part is what they did or said for you that changed your life.

The second part is what you did as a result of it and the third is where you are in life now, as a result of it. Okay. That's part one. Now part two is I actually want you to deliver this in person, either make an appointment

to see her in, but keep see, or if she's far away, get a zoom appointment, much better to do this in person than by letter. Then I want you to show up on her doorstep and read the testimony. Well, we done this with thousands of people now, the modal effect is both people weep. And then if you look systematically at well-being and depression a month later, people who

have done this exercise are less depressed and have higher well-being. It's a very effective exercise. Love it. I love the idea of taking the extra step of reading it to them in person. It might be a little awkward, but I bet by the end of it, both of you are so glad that

you did it that way. It's one of the most effective techniques that I've ever come across. Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. One of your methods, too, was reading the minds of the dead, looking at history, way way back.

And actually counting, is this right, Henry? This right, you were counting agency words like choose and compete, which were like, good once versus obliged or assigned, which were bad ones. What made me through this study? Well, this is what I spend all my time doing, and now that I have Claude and chatGPT instead

of having to do it all by hand, I can do it massively in the morning.

Let me tell you about St. Augustine and medieval Christianity. My main hypothesis is that, because for 5,000 years we have had it, writing, we can actually look at what people wrote, look at a whole era of what people wrote, and look at how agentic they are, how humanly agentic, or how divinely agentic.

“And then we can ask, how does this affect progress?”

So St. Augustine 400 AD was the most important Christian philosopher, and what Augustine

believed set doctrine for almost a thousand years. Well, before Augustine, the Christian philosophers were highly agentic. They believed you could become holy, you could do things to get into heaven, you could participate in your own grace. In 383, Augustine comes along and says, "No, if you did something good, you've resisted

temptation, it's only because of God's arbitrary grace."

Now, historians have noted that for a long time, and indeed, after Augustine, we get the

“Middle Ages, we get awful stagnation under the belief that it's all God, no human agency.”

Now, historians before this new field of psychohistory would just pick out the best quotes they could find, cherry pick them, quotes from Augustine. But now we can actually count the verbs. We can look at Augustine over philosophers before and count verbs like, "Do, able, can, and the like." And even better now with AI, AI can read all of Augustine and give a rating of how

agentic it is. So indeed, what I was doing this morning was counting verbs and using Claude to read the medievalists. And it turns out the upshot of us and the reason psychohistory now becomes a real discipline is you can look across the Middle Ages at progress measured by GDP, by population, by writing is about freedom et cetera. And you can look at what quantitatively, the leading intellectuals and writers were saying. And what you find is that

when agency drops, as it does in Augustine, you get stagnation. When it picks up, as it does in 800 with Charlemagne, progress goes up. So that's behind my notion that we can predict the future by looking at agency.

“Man, that's wild. I mean, I think as leaders the thing to think about is, what are the”

actual words you're using? How are you helping create belief in agency and your people? And then certainly looking at the hiring process and training and development, that is

so critical if you're trying to build a great culture.

One thing more you've got to do is you've got to measure your followers. You've got to tell your managers that, you know, you're responsible for the productivity under you. But we now know that agency and well being are causally related to high productivity. So it's your job as a manager, not just to keep productivity going, but to increase the well-being and agency of the people under you. And to the extent you increase well-being, happiness and

agency of the people under you, you're going to get promoted to the extent you don't your time is up. Perfect. One more question before we run, man, let's say you're surrounded by the people that you love. So man is there, your kids, grandkids, and everybody else, Angela Duckworth, other people are all around you and it's exactly one year from today, okay? And you're busing out all the champagne and you guys are spraying it all over each other, celebrating like crazy.

I'm curious, Marty, what are you celebrating? Well for me agency is a contribution to knowledge and my hope about the book agency is not particularly self-improvement here, but a new field of history and psychology will be taken seriously in which we measure and build psychological

for the better to increase future happiness and future productivity. So that's what I would celebrate.

“Talk about putting such a giant positive dent in the world, man. It is so cool. This is awesome.”

The book's called Agency, the psychological history of human progress, no doubt. This thing is going to help so many people. I appreciate your team for sending it over and let me get a peek. And just thank you so much for being here, Marty. I would love to continue our dialogue as

we both progress, man. When you were really fun to talk to Ryan, thanks for the good interview.

Thank you so much, man. We'll do it again.

“It is the end of the podcast club. Thank you for being a member of the end of the podcast club.”

If you are sending me a note, Ryan at learningleater.com, let me know what you learned. This great conversation with Marty Seligman. If you take away his from my notes, you've got to argue with your pessimism. When your inner voice says, "Ah, you can't do this. It's not going to work. You can't accept that. You've got to dispute it out loud. The way you argue with someone else who said something false about you. Marty, he has to do this daily."

And this is the guy that founded positive psychology. The skills do not come naturally to everyone. These are things that we have to practice. And then celebrate other people's wins actively. When someone shares good news, don't just say, "Oh, nice. Congrats, man." And move on. Get curious. Ask specific questions. Make them read, live the best part. Like Marty talks about he did with his wife, man. He was really cool. He calls this active, constructive responding.

And it's one of the strongest predictors of whether a relationship thrives or not. And then do a gratitude testimonial. Think of someone who changed your life. Write them 300 specific words. What they did, how it affected you, where you are now because of it. Then go see him in person and

read it to him out loud. Yeah, it might be a little awkward at first. But you'll both be glad.

You did it. It'll make them feel better. It'll make you feel better. And scientifically, this says, it will raise your levels of optimism and agency. Once again, I want to say thank you so much

“for continuing to spread the message and telling our friend or to, hey, you should listen to this”

episode of The Learning Leader Show with Marty Seal. I think they'll help me become a more effective leader because you continue to do that. And you'll also go to Spotify, Apple podcast, subscribe to the show, rate it hopefully five stars. Write a thoughtful review by doing all of that you are giving me the opportunity to do what I love in a daily basis. And for that, I will forever be grateful. Thank you so so much. Talk as soon. Can't wait.

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